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This prospective case-control study aimed to analyze and summarize the high-risk factors and susceptible genes of patients with colorectal polyps. According to these high-risk factors, the investigators developed and validated a prediction model for colorectal polyps to identify high-risk individuals, in order to provide clinical basis for the etiology research and the establishment of effective preventive measures.
A large cohort of eligible participants were included in the analysis, and classified into derivation and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of participants were utilized to develop a prediction model for colorectal polyps. In the derivation cohort, the LASSO regression method was applied to filter variables and select the most useful high-risk factors. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify potential predictors and then a prediction model was established. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated with respect to its discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| experimental group | patients with colorectal polyps | ||
| control group | patients without intestinal diseases |
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of participants with polyps | demographic and clinicopathological characteristics | 1 year |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Independent high-risk factors of participants with polyps | high-risk factors | 1 year |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
- Subject with inflammatory bowel disease, enterophthisis, familial adenomatous polyposis, P-J syndrome and intestinal lymphoma.
A history of severe systemic diseases: liver cirrhosis, metabolic syndrome, chronic kidney disease, malignancy.
Subject taking blood lipid-lowering drugs, hormone or immunosuppressive agents. Unwillingness to cooperate with questionnaire survey. Lack of complete clinical data for analysis.
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A total of 2800 confirmed eligible participants, 18 to 80 years of age, including 2000 cases with colorectal polyps and 800 controls free of colorectal polyps, are enrolled in this study.
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| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University | Nanjing | Jiangsu | 210029 | China |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28842051 | Background | Oines M, Helsingen LM, Bretthauer M, Emilsson L. Epidemiology and risk factors of colorectal polyps. Best Pract Res Clin Gastroenterol. 2017 Aug;31(4):419-424. doi: 10.1016/j.bpg.2017.06.004. Epub 2017 Jun 28. | |
| 27639804 | Background | Bailie L, Loughrey MB, Coleman HG. Lifestyle Risk Factors for Serrated Colorectal Polyps: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Gastroenterology. 2017 Jan;152(1):92-104. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2016.09.003. Epub 2016 Sep 14. |
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