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The study aimed to analyze the risk factors of colorectal advanced adenoma and constructe a model to predict the high-risk individuals of harbouring colorectal advanced adenomas, so as to better identify screening participants and provide an important theoretical basis for the prevention of colorectal cancer.
A large cohort of eligible patients were included in the analysis, and classified into derivation and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of participants were utilized to develop a prediction model for colorectal advanced polyps. In the derivation cohort, the LASSO regression method was applied to filter variables and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify important predictors.A prediction model was established based on the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated with respect to its discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| patients with colorectal advanced adenomas | |||
| patients without colorectal advanced adenomas |
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Demographic characteristics of patients with colorectal adenomas checklist | Age (years), sex (man/woman), family history of colorectal cancer (in first-degree relatives, including parents and siblings), history of smoking (never, past, current), history of alcohol consumption (never, past, current), regular use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs | 1 year |
| weight (kilograms) | Clinicopathological characteristics of patients with colorectal adenomas | 1 year |
| height (meters) | Clinicopathological characteristics of patients with colorectal adenomas | 1 year |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| The important high-risk factors of colorectal advanced adenoma | The important high-risk factors with p value < 0.05 | 1 year |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
Patients with a previous history of colorectal neoplasm. Patients with a history of severe systemic diseases. Lack of complete clinical data for analysis.
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Confirmed eligible patients, 18 to 75 years of age, including cases with colorectal advanced adenomas and controls without colorectal advanced adenomas, are enrolled in this study.
| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Zhu, MD | Contact | zhuhong1059@126.com |
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| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University | Recruiting | Nanjing | Jiangsu | 210029 | China |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14687811 | Background | Betes M, Munoz-Navas MA, Duque JM, Angos R, Macias E, Subtil JC, Herraiz M, De La Riva S, Delgado-Rodriguez M, Martinez-Gonzalez MA. Use of colonoscopy as a primary screening test for colorectal cancer in average risk people. Am J Gastroenterol. 2003 Dec;98(12):2648-54. doi: 10.1111/j.1572-0241.2003.08771.x. | |
| 24045331 | Background |
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| Wong MC, Lam TY, Tsoi KK, Hirai HW, Chan VC, Ching JY, Chan FK, Sung JJ. A validated tool to predict colorectal neoplasia and inform screening choice for asymptomatic subjects. Gut. 2014 Jul;63(7):1130-6. doi: 10.1136/gutjnl-2013-305639. Epub 2013 Sep 17. |