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Nasopharyngeal cancer is common in China, Southeast Asia, and North Africa, and is usually associated with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. Using EBV specific antibodies or EBV DNA screening can increase the proportion of patients diagnosed with early nasopharyngeal carcinoma from approximately 20% to over 70%. However, the application of nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening in clinical practice is hindered by low positive predictive values, even in areas where the EB virus is prevalent in China, the positive predictive value is only 4.8%. Therefore, there is an urgent need to identify new biomarkers or strategies with high sensitivity and positive predictive value for nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening.
A study published in the Lancet sub journal 《eClinicalMedicine》 in 2023 showed that a tongue image model based on machine learning can serve as a stable diagnostic method for gastric cancer (AUC=0.89), and has been clinically validated in multiple centers. This study inspires researchers to introduce artificial intelligence machine learning technology into the diagnosis and treatment of nasopharyngeal cancer.
In summary, this plan explores the establishment of tongue image machine learning models in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients to help improve the positive predictive value of nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening.
Nasopharyngeal cancer is common in China, Southeast Asia, and North Africa, and is generally associated with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. Using EBV specific antibodies or EBV DNA screening can increase the proportion of patients diagnosed with early nasopharyngeal carcinoma from approximately 20% to over 70%. In previous studies, researchers found that participants who underwent screening were more likely to achieve long-term survival after being diagnosed with nasopharyngeal carcinoma compared to the control group, and the risk of nasopharyngeal carcinoma specific death was lower among screened patients (relative risk 0.22). However, the application of nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening in clinical practice is hindered by low positive predictive values, even in areas where the EB virus is prevalent in China, the positive predictive value is only 4.8%. More than 95% of high-risk participants identified through primary serological screening underwent unnecessary and time-consuming clinical examinations and follow-up. The combination of various biomarkers, multi-step screening, and identification of new biomarkers are used to improve the performance of nasopharyngeal cancer screening strategies. However, the progress achieved so far is still unsatisfactory, characterized by low sensitivity, complex operation, or high cost. Therefore, there is an urgent need to identify new biomarkers or strategies with high sensitivity and positive predictive value for nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening.
In 《The New England Journal of Medicine》 in 2023, Professor Xia Ningshao's team reported on the identification and validation of anti BNLF2 total antibody (P85Ab) as a new serological biomarker for nasopharyngeal cancer screening.The sensitivity of P85-Ab nasopharyngeal carcinoma is 97.9%, with a positive predictive value of 10.0%. Furthermore, on the basis of P85-Ab positivity, if further detection of EB double antibodies (EBV nuclear antigen 1 [EBNA1]-IgA and EBV-specific viral capsid antigen [VCA]-IgA) is carried out, intermediate or medium high risk individuals with EB double antibodies can undergo nasopharyngoscopy examination, which can increase the positive predictive value of nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening to 29.6% -44.6%, that is, for every 2-3 nasopharyngoscopes performed, one case of nasopharyngeal carcinoma can be diagnosed. The sensitivity of this study is very high, but the positive predictive value is only 10%. Even when combined with traditional EB dual antibody monitoring and nasal endoscopy, one-third to one-half of non nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients still undergo unnecessary and time-consuming clinical examinations. Therefore, it is still necessary to explore simple and cost-effective methods to improve the strategy of positive predictive value for nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening.
A study published in the Lancet sub journal 《eClinicalMedicine》 in 2023 showed that a tongue image model based on machine learning can serve as a stable diagnostic method for gastric cancer (AUC=0.89), and has been clinically validated in multiple centers. This study inspires researchers to introduce artificial intelligence machine learning technology into the diagnosis and treatment of nasopharyngeal cancer.
In summary, this plan explores the establishment of tongue image machine learning models in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients to help improve the positive predictive value of nasopharyngeal carcinoma screening.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Training group | Experimental group: population of initially diagnosed nasopharyngeal carcinoma [600 people]; Control group: 2400 healthy individuals+nasopharyngeal disease patients+other tumors. |
| |
| Validation group | Validation group: Experimental group: Nasopharyngeal cancer population [400 people]; Control group: 1600 healthy individuals+patients with nasopharyngeal diseases+other tumors. |
|
| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue image | Other | Using intelligent imaging devices to collect subject tongue images |
|
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Area Under Curve (AUC) of Diagnostic Model | Determine the screening effectiveness of the nasopharyngeal carcinoma tongue image model | 12 months |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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This study plans to include a training group consisting of 600 newly diagnosed nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients and 800 healthy individuals, as well as 800 individuals with common nasopharyngeal diseases and other tumors. According to the training group: validation group=6:4, configure the number of validation group members. There are approximately 5000 people in total.
| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yulong Zhang, Doctor | Contact | 18810550602 | zhongxiyi1101@163.com |
| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Qi Zeng, Doctor | Fifth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University | Principal Investigator |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat sen University | Zhuhai | China |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25651787 | Background | Torre LA, Bray F, Siegel RL, Ferlay J, Lortet-Tieulent J, Jemal A. Global cancer statistics, 2012. CA Cancer J Clin. 2015 Mar;65(2):87-108. doi: 10.3322/caac.21262. Epub 2015 Feb 4. | |
| 31178151 | Background | Chen YP, Chan ATC, Le QT, Blanchard P, Sun Y, Ma J. Nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Lancet. 2019 Jul 6;394(10192):64-80. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30956-0. Epub 2019 Jun 6. |
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D000077274 | Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D002277 | Carcinoma |
| D009375 | Neoplasms, Glandular and Epithelial |
| D009370 | Neoplasms by Histologic Type |
| D009369 | Neoplasms |
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| 28792880 | Background | Chan KCA, Woo JKS, King A, Zee BCY, Lam WKJ, Chan SL, Chu SWI, Mak C, Tse IOL, Leung SYM, Chan G, Hui EP, Ma BBY, Chiu RWK, Leung SF, van Hasselt AC, Chan ATC, Lo YMD. Analysis of Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA to Screen for Nasopharyngeal Cancer. N Engl J Med. 2017 Aug 10;377(6):513-522. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1701717. |
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| 32102852 | Background | Simon J, Liu Z, Brenner N, Yu KJ, Hsu WL, Wang CP, Chien YC, Coghill AE, Chen CJ, Butt J, Proietti C, Doolan DL, Hildesheim A, Waterboer T. Validation of an Epstein-Barr Virus Antibody Risk Stratification Signature for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma by Use of Multiplex Serology. J Clin Microbiol. 2020 Apr 23;58(5):e00077-20. doi: 10.1128/JCM.00077-20. Print 2020 Apr 23. |
| 29301829 | Background | Coghill AE, Pfeiffer RM, Proietti C, Hsu WL, Chien YC, Lekieffre L, Krause L, Teng A, Pablo J, Yu KJ, Lou PJ, Wang CP, Liu Z, Chen CJ, Middeldorp J, Mulvenna J, Bethony J, Hildesheim A, Doolan DL. Identification of a Novel, EBV-Based Antibody Risk Stratification Signature for Early Detection of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in Taiwan. Clin Cancer Res. 2018 Mar 15;24(6):1305-1314. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-17-1929. Epub 2018 Jan 4. |
| 35414057 | Background | He YQ, Wang TM, Ji M, Mai ZM, Tang M, Wang R, Zhou Y, Zheng Y, Xiao R, Yang D, Wu Z, Deng C, Zhang J, Xue W, Dong S, Zhan J, Cai Y, Li F, Wu B, Liao Y, Zhou T, Zheng M, Jia Y, Li D, Cao L, Yuan L, Zhang W, Luo L, Tong X, Wu Y, Li X, Zhang P, Zheng X, Zhang S, Hu Y, Qin W, Deng B, Liang X, Fan P, Feng Y, Song J, Xie SH, Chang ET, Zhang Z, Huang G, Xu M, Feng L, Jin G, Bei J, Cao S, Liu Q, Kozlakidis Z, Mai H, Sun Y, Ma J, Hu Z, Liu J, Lung ML, Adami HO, Shen H, Ye W, Lam TH, Zeng YX, Jia WH. A polygenic risk score for nasopharyngeal carcinoma shows potential for risk stratification and personalized screening. Nat Commun. 2022 Apr 12;13(1):1966. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-29570-4. |
| 34465768 | Background | Zhou X, Cao SM, Cai YL, Zhang X, Zhang S, Feng GF, Chen Y, Feng QS, Chen Y, Chang ET, Liu Z, Adami HO, Liu J, Ye W, Zhang Z, Zeng YX, Xu M. A comprehensive risk score for effective risk stratification and screening of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Nat Commun. 2021 Aug 31;12(1):5189. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-25402-z. |
| 29760067 | Background | Lam WKJ, Jiang P, Chan KCA, Cheng SH, Zhang H, Peng W, Tse OYO, Tong YK, Gai W, Zee BCY, Ma BBY, Hui EP, Chan ATC, Woo JKS, Chiu RWK, Lo YMD. Sequencing-based counting and size profiling of plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA enhance population screening of nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 May 29;115(22):E5115-E5124. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1804184115. Epub 2018 May 14. |
| 31332191 | Background | Lam WKJ, Jiang P, Chan KCA, Peng W, Shang H, Heung MMS, Cheng SH, Zhang H, Tse OYO, Raghupathy R, Ma BBY, Hui EP, Chan ATC, Woo JKS, Chiu RWK, Lo YMD. Methylation analysis of plasma DNA informs etiologies of Epstein-Barr virus-associated diseases. Nat Commun. 2019 Jul 22;10(1):3256. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-11226-5. |
| 35325087 | Background | Chen GH, Liu Z, Yu KJ, Coghill AE, Chen XX, Xie SH, Lin DF, Huang QH, Lu YQ, Ling W, Lin CY, Lu ZJ, Fan YY, Tang LQ, Sampson JN, Li H, King AD, Middeldorp JM, Hildesheim A, Cao SM. Utility of Epstein-Barr Virus DNA in Nasopharynx Swabs as a Reflex Test to Triage Seropositive Individuals in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Screening Programs. Clin Chem. 2022 Jul 3;68(7):953-962. doi: 10.1093/clinchem/hvac032. |
| 37646678 | Background | Li T, Li F, Guo X, Hong C, Yu X, Wu B, Lian S, Song L, Tang J, Wen S, Gao K, Hao M, Cheng W, Su Y, Zhang S, Huang S, Fang M, Wang Y, Ng MH, Chen H, Luo W, Ge S, Zhang J, Xia N, Ji M. Anti-Epstein-Barr Virus BNLF2b for Mass Screening for Nasopharyngeal Cancer. N Engl J Med. 2023 Aug 31;389(9):808-819. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2301496. |
| 36825238 | Background | Yuan L, Yang L, Zhang S, Xu Z, Qin J, Shi Y, Yu P, Wang Y, Bao Z, Xia Y, Sun J, He W, Chen T, Chen X, Hu C, Zhang Y, Dong C, Zhao P, Wang Y, Jiang N, Lv B, Xue Y, Jiao B, Gao H, Chai K, Li J, Wang H, Wang X, Guan X, Liu X, Zhao G, Zheng Z, Yan J, Yu H, Chen L, Ye Z, You H, Bao Y, Cheng X, Zhao P, Wang L, Zeng W, Tian Y, Chen M, You Y, Yuan G, Ruan H, Gao X, Xu J, Xu H, Du L, Zhang S, Fu H, Cheng X. Development of a tongue image-based machine learning tool for the diagnosis of gastric cancer: a prospective multicentre clinical cohort study. EClinicalMedicine. 2023 Feb 6;57:101834. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.101834. eCollection 2023 Mar. |
| D009303 |
| Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms |
| D010610 | Pharyngeal Neoplasms |
| D010039 | Otorhinolaryngologic Neoplasms |
| D006258 | Head and Neck Neoplasms |
| D009371 | Neoplasms by Site |
| D009302 | Nasopharyngeal Diseases |
| D010608 | Pharyngeal Diseases |
| D009057 | Stomatognathic Diseases |
| D010038 | Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases |