This prospective observational study aims to objectively measure the lead-time (the time from the first KDS alert to sepsis diagnosis) of the NEWS2-based clinical decision support system (KDS) and compare its early warning performance with a machine learning model trained on 2000 patients and externally validated. The study seeks to answer the following main questions:
How early does the NEWS2-based KDS provide an alert before sepsis diagnosis?
Does a machine learning model, developed using logistic regression and externally validated in a prospective cohort, offer superior specificity and comparable sensitivity to KDS?
Participants who are already receiving routine clinical care at Kocaeli City Hospital will have their vital signs and laboratory data monitored as part of standard practice. NEWS2 scores will be calculated automatically and the time of the first alert (T0) will be recorded. Sepsis diagnosis will be confirmed by an increase in SOFA score ≥ 2 (T1), evaluated by two independent and blinded physicians. Lead-time will be calculated as the difference between T1 (hours×60) and T0 (minutes). The machine learning model will be tested prospectively on this cohort, and its performance will be compared with KDS using sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, ROC-AUC, and accuracy.
Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
feyza__ozkan@hotmail.com+905456010099
ahmetyuksek@yandex.com+905326580351
Machine Learning Sepsis Alert Notification Using Clinical Data
Prospective Observational Study to Compare REMS vs NEWS2 for Patients Presenting to the ED With Sepsis
RCT of Sepsis Machine Learning Algorithm
Implementation and Evaluations of Sepsis Watch
Impact of Early Sepsis Care Guided by the National Early Warning Score 2 in the Emergency Department
Comparison of Sepsis Prediction Algorithms
Predictive algoRithm for EValuation and Intervention in SEpsis
Validation of Early Warning Score & Lactate in Prehospital Screening