Predictive Value of Early Postoperative Heart Rate Variability Changes From Baseline for Postoperative Delirium in Older Adults Undergoing Major Abdominal Surgery: A Prospective Cohort Study
Predictive Value of Early Postoperative Heart Rate Variability Changes From Baseline for Postoperative Delirium in Older Adults Undergoing Major Abdominal Surgery: A Prospective Cohort Study
This prospective observational cohort study aims to investigate whether early postoperative changes in heart rate variability (HRV) relative to baseline are associated with the development of postoperative delirium (POD) in older patients undergoing elective major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia. Patients aged 65-85 years will be enrolled. Resting HRV will be measured at 10:00 AM on the day of surgery before anesthesia induction and at the same time point on the first postoperative day using a validated heart rate monitoring device. HRV parameters will be derived from standardized 5-minute recordings. Changes in HRV parameters from baseline will be calculated, and their associations with POD occurrence will be evaluated. Postoperative delirium will be assessed daily from 24 hours after surgery to postoperative day 7, using the 3-Minute Diagnostic Interview for Confusion Assessment Method (3D-CAM). The study will also explore the potential utility of HRV-derived markers for early POD risk stratification. Approximately 500 participants will be enrolled.
Inclusion Criteria
Exclusion Criteria
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Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common neurocognitive complication following major surgery in older adults and is associated with increased morbidity, prolonged hospitalization, and adverse clinical outcomes. However, objective and easily obtainable biomarkers for early identification of patients at high risk of POD remain limited.
Heart rate variability (HRV) reflects autonomic nervous system regulation and may provide a non-invasive marker of physiological stress and impaired autonomic adaptability. Major abdominal surgery induces substantial systemic stress responses, including inflammation, neuroendocrine activation, and autonomic disturbances. Whether early postoperative alterations in HRV are associated with subsequent POD development remains unclear.
This is a single-center, prospective observational cohort study. Patients aged 65-85 years undergoing elective major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia will be consecutively enrolled. Baseline demographic characteristics, comorbidities, frailty status, cognitive function, and perioperative clinical variables will be collected.
Resting HRV will be measured at 10:00 AM on the day of surgery before anesthesia induction and again at the same time point on the first postoperative day using a validated heart rate monitoring device. HRV analysis will be performed based on standardized 5-minute recordings in accordance with established recommendations for short-term HRV assessment. Time-domain, frequency-domain, and nonlinear HRV parameters will be calculated.
Postoperative delirium will be assessed daily from 24 hours after surgery to postoperative day 7 using the 3-Minute Diagnostic Interview for Confusion Assessment Method (3D-CAM). Additional clinical outcomes include delirium severity, delirium duration, postoperative cognitive function, quality of recovery, postoperative nausea and vomiting, and length of hospital stay.
The primary objective is to evaluate the association between early postoperative HRV changes and the occurrence of POD after adjustment for clinically relevant confounding factors, including age, baseline cognitive function, frailty status, surgical duration, and baseline HRV. Secondary analyses will explore the relationship between representative HRV markers and postoperative clinical outcomes and assess their potential utility for early POD risk stratification.