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This single-center, retrospective observational cohort study evaluated early changes in non-invasive hepatic and metabolic indices (FIB-4, APRI, HSI, and the triglyceride-glucose [TyG] index) in adults with overweight or obesity who received once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide or tirzepatide for metabolic risk reduction related to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Baseline and follow-up (minimum 12 weeks) clinical, anthropometric, and laboratory data from 154 patients treated at a single tertiary-care center in Turkey were analyzed. The study assessed whether short-term incretin-based therapy was associated with changes in fibrosis-related indices (FIB-4, APRI) versus steatosis- and insulin resistance-related indices (HSI, TyG), and identified independent predictors of these changes using multivariable linear regression.
Adults aged 18 years or older with overweight or obesity who were considered at increased metabolic risk for MASLD and who received continuous subcutaneous semaglutide or tirzepatide for at least 12 weeks were retrospectively identified at the internal medicine clinic of a tertiary-care state hospital in Istanbul, Turkey. Patients with significant alcohol consumption, other chronic liver disease etiologies, prior bariatric surgery, recent initiation/dose change of MASLD-relevant medications, concurrent hepatotoxic agent use, or missing baseline/follow-up data were excluded.
Baseline values were defined as the most recent measurements within 4 weeks before treatment initiation; follow-up values were the earliest measurements obtained after at least 12 continuous weeks of therapy. FIB-4, APRI, HSI, and TyG were calculated at both time points. Wilcoxon signed-rank tests compared baseline-to-follow-up changes. Kendall's tau assessed exploratory correlations among change scores; Spearman's rho assessed two prespecified correlations (percentage body-weight change vs. index changes; ΔHbA1c vs. index changes in the diabetic subgroup). Multivariable linear regression (enter method) identified independent predictors of ΔFIB-4, ΔAPRI, ΔHSI, and ΔTyG, adjusting for baseline index value, weight change, follow-up duration, baseline HbA1c, sex, and age.
Agent choice (semaglutide vs. tirzepatide) and dose titration were at the discretion of the treating physician; patients receiving either agent were analyzed together as a drug class, without dose-based stratification, since the study's aim was to characterize the class-level early index response rather than compare individual agents.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Semaglutide | Adults with overweight or obesity at increased metabolic risk for MASLD who received continuous once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide for at least 12 weeks (n=81). Dose titration was at the treating physician's discretion. |
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| Tirzepatide | Adults with overweight or obesity at increased metabolic risk for MASLD who received continuous once-weekly subcutaneous tirzepatide for at least 12 weeks (n=73). Dose titration was at the treating physician's discretion. |
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| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semaglutide | Drug | Once-weekly subcutaneous GLP-1 receptor agonist administered for at least 12 weeks; dose individualized and titrated at the treating physician's discretion according to routine clinical practice and patient tolerability. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Change in Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) | FIB-4 = (Age × AST) / (Platelet count × √ALT), calculated at baseline and after ≥12 weeks of therapy. | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks; minimum 12 weeks) |
| Change in AST-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) | APRI = (AST / 40 U/L ULN) / Platelet count × 100, calculated at baseline and after ≥12 weeks of therapy. | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks; minimum 12 weeks) |
| Change in Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI) | HSI = 8 × (ALT/AST) + BMI + 2 (if type 2 diabetes) + 2 (if female), calculated at baseline and after ≥12 weeks of therapy. | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks; minimum 12 weeks) |
| Change in Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) Index | yG = ln[fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL) / 2], calculated at baseline and after ≥12 weeks of therapy. | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks; minimum 12 weeks) |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Change in Liver Enzymes | AST, ALT, and GGT levels (U/L). | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks) |
| Change in Fasting Plasma Glucose | Fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL) |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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Adults with overweight or obesity at increased metabolic risk for MASLD, treated with subcutaneous semaglutide or tirzepatide for at least 12 weeks at a single tertiary-care internal medicine clinic in Turkey; both medications were self-funded (out-of-pocket), as they are not covered by the national health insurance system.
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| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Ozgur Bahadir, MD | Istanbul Medeniyet University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Gastroenterology | Principal Investigator |
| Ayse N Erbakan, MD,PhD | Istanbul Medeniyet University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine | Study Director |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facility: Istanbul Medeniyet University, Göztepe Prof. Dr. Süleyman Yalçın City Hospital | Istanbul | Turkey (Türkiye) |
Data available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D005234 | Fatty Liver |
| D009765 | Obesity |
| D050177 | Overweight |
| D007333 | Insulin Resistance |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D008107 | Liver Diseases |
| D004066 | Digestive System Diseases |
| D044343 | Overnutrition |
| D009748 | Nutrition Disorders |
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| C000591245 | semaglutide |
| D000098860 | Tirzepatide |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D000067757 | Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor |
| D000067756 | Glucagon-Like Peptide Receptors |
| D043562 | Receptors, G-Protein-Coupled |
| D011956 | Receptors, Cell Surface |
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| Tirzepatide | Drug | Once-weekly subcutaneous dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist administered for at least 12 weeks; dose individualized and titrated at the treating physician's discretion according to routine clinical practice and patient tolerability. |
|
|
| Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks) |
| Change in Lipid Profile | Total cholesterol, HDL-C, LDL-C, and triglycerides (mg/dL) | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks) |
| Change in Body Weight | Body weight (kilograms). | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks) |
| Change in Glycated Hemoglobin (HbA1c) | HbA1c (percentage of total hemoglobin, %). | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks) |
| Change in Body Mass Index (BMI) | BMI (kg/m^2), calculated from body weight and height. | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks) |
| Change in Waist-to-Height Ratio | Waist-to-height ratio (unitless ratio: waist circumference [cm] / height [cm]). | Baseline and follow-up (median 23.7 weeks) |
| D009750 |
| Nutritional and Metabolic Diseases |
| D001835 | Body Weight |
| D012816 | Signs and Symptoms |
| D013568 | Pathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms |
| D006946 | Hyperinsulinism |
| D044882 | Glucose Metabolism Disorders |
| D008659 | Metabolic Diseases |
| D008565 | Membrane Proteins |
| D011506 | Proteins |
| D000602 | Amino Acids, Peptides, and Proteins |
| D011964 | Receptors, Gastrointestinal Hormone |
| D018000 | Receptors, Peptide |