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| ID | Type | Description | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82572527 | Other Grant/Funding Number | The National Natural Science Foundations of China | |
| 82272211 | Other Grant/Funding Number | The National Natural Science Foundations of China | |
| BK20252100 | Other Grant/Funding Number | The General Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province | |
| zdyyxy29 | Other Grant/Funding Number | Jiangsu Province High-Level Hospital Pairing Assistance Construction Funds |
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After heart surgery, up to half of all patients may develop a state of sudden confusion called postoperative delirium. This condition can lead to longer time on a breathing machine, extended stays in the intensive care unit (ICU), and a slower overall recovery. Currently, doctors have no reliable way to predict delirium early enough to take preventive action. This study aims to build a computer-based early warning system. The system will combine continuous, real-time measurements of brain waves (EEG), the oxygen level in the brain, and heart and blood pressure function. It will also include information about each patient's health status. By analyzing all of these signals together, the model is designed to give an alert 1 to 6 hours before delirium might start, giving the care team a window of time to intervene. The study will take place in the ICU at Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University. Adults between 18 and 80 years old who are admitted to the ICU after heart surgery will be invited to participate. All patients will receive the usual standard of care; the study does not test any new treatment. Participation means the investigators will continuously record the brain, oxygen, and heart signals that are already being monitored, and a researcher will regularly assess the patient's thinking and alertness with a simple bedside check.
Postoperative delirium (POD) following cardiac surgery has an incidence of 20-50% and is associated with prolonged mechanical ventilation, extended ICU and hospital stay, and increased mortality. Its pathophysiology involves a complex interplay of cerebral hypoperfusion, neuroinflammation, blood-brain barrier disruption, and neurotransmitter imbalances-a "multiple-hit" model. Current clinical assessment relies on static risk stratification or post-hoc diagnostic tools , which lack the dynamic, pre-symptomatic warning capability needed for timely intervention. The increasing availability of multimodal ICU monitoring (EEG, near-infrared spectroscopy, invasive hemodynamics) and advanced time-series deep learning provides an unprecedented opportunity to capture the evolution of physiological uncoupling before the clinical manifestation of delirium.
Objective: This study aims to develop and validate a multimodal deep learning model that fuses continuous central electrophysiology (frontal EEG), regional cerebral oxygen saturation (rScOâ‚‚), macro-hemodynamic parameters, and clinical static/dynamic risk factors to provide a dynamic early warning of POD 1-6 hours in advance.
Study Design: This is a single-center, prospective, observational cohort study. Setting and Population: The study will enroll consecutive adult patients (18-80 years) admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine at Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, after cardiac surgery (CABG, valve repair/replacement, major aortic surgery, or combined procedures) between May 1, 2026 and December 30, 2027. All eligible patients must have multimodal monitoring including continuous EEG, bilateral frontal rScOâ‚‚, and invasive arterial blood pressure, and must provide informed consent.
Key Exclusion Criteria: Pre-existing dementia, psychiatric illness or long-term antipsychotic use precluding accurate delirium assessment; severe hepatic (Child-Pugh C) or renal insufficiency (eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m²); significant brain injury or seizure history; inability to obtain adequate signal quality; expected death within 24 hours.
Data Collection and Monitoring: Data will be captured at multiple time windows: preoperative baseline, intraoperative period, and postoperative time points (immediately upon ICU arrival, 6h, 24h, 48h, and at the moment delirium is first detected). Preoperative phenotyping includes demographics, MoCA, Clinical Frailty Scale, and EuroSCORE II. Continuous EEG features (power spectral density, burst suppression ratio, complexity indices) and rScOâ‚‚ (baseline, desaturation events >20%, autoregulation index COx) will be recorded. Hemodynamic variables include heart rate, beat-to-beat blood pressure variability, and, where available, derived cardiac output metrics. Comprehensive clinical data (laboratory values, sedation/analgesic dosing, vasoactive-inotropic score, mechanical ventilation parameters, and SOFA/APACHE II scores) will be collected concurrently.
Delirium Assessment: Trained research staff will assess delirium using the Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU (CAM-ICU) in conjunction with the Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale (RASS). Assessments occur at baseline, postoperatively when the patient is awake, and at scheduled intervals, with documentation of first onset, duration, and subtype (hyperactive, hypoactive, mixed).
Model Development and Analysis: All signals will be time-aligned to construct a high-resolution multimodal time-series dataset. The primary predictive model will be based on a Transformer or Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architecture employing a sliding window approach (e.g., input: preceding 2 hours; output: predicted delirium risk in the next 1-6 hours). The dataset will be split into training, validation, and test sets (7:1.5:1.5). Primary performance metrics are area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative predictive values, and the achievable warning lead time. Model interpretability will be explored using SHAP or attention weight analysis. The added value of multimodal fusion will be quantified by comparing the full model against unimodal baselines (clinical data only, EEG only, or rScOâ‚‚ only).
Outcomes: The primary outcome is the occurrence of POD. Secondary outcomes include duration of mechanical ventilation, ICU length of stay, and hospital length of stay.
Significance: By delineating the temporal trajectories of EEG, cerebral oxygenation, and systemic hemodynamics preceding delirium, this study will provide new pathophysiological insights into the "cerebral perfusion-metabolism-electrical activity" uncoupling hypothesis and deliver a clinically implementable early warning framework to enable proactive brain-directed interventions.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiac Surgery Patients | Adult patients (18-80 years) admitted to the ICU after cardiac surgery (CABG, valve repair/replacement, major aortic surgery, or combined procedures) who meet all inclusion criteria and provide informed consent. All participants receive standard clinical care without any experimental interventions. They undergo multimodal monitoring (continuous frontal EEG, bilateral rScOâ‚‚, invasive arterial blood pressure) and serial delirium assessments (CAM-ICU) according to the study schedule. |
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Incidence of Postoperative Delirium (POD) | The proportion of participants who develop postoperative delirium during the ICU stay following cardiac surgery. Delirium is diagnosed using the Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU (CAM-ICU) and classified as positive (delirium present) or negative (no delirium). | From ICU admission until ICU discharge or Day 7 postoperatively, whichever occurs first. |
| Time to Onset of Postoperative Delirium | The time (in hours) from the end of cardiac surgery (skin closure) to the first positive CAM-ICU assessment. Only for participants who develop POD. | From end of surgery until first documented delirium or ICU discharge, up to 7 days. |
| Duration of Postoperative Delirium | The total duration (in hours) from the first positive CAM-ICU assessment to the last positive CAM-ICU assessment, with no recurrence within 24 hours. | From first delirium onset until delirium resolution or ICU discharge, up to 7 days. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Duration of Mechanical Ventilation | Total time (in hours) from endotracheal intubation to successful extubation (or removal of ventilatory support) during the index ICU stay. | From ICU admission until extubation, assessed throughout ICU stay, up to 30 days. |
| Intensive Care Unit Length of Stay |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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The study population consists of adult patients after cardiac surgery admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, from May 1, 2026 to December 30, 2027.
| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jingyuan Xu, MD | Contact | +8613851417209 | xujingyuanmail@163.com | |
| Wanting Lin, MD | Contact | 13523253700 | linwanting2022@126.com |
| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Jingyuan Xu, MD | Southeast University School of Medicine | Study Chair |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhongda hospital Southeast University | Nanjing | Jiangsu | China |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41481100 | Result | Wiredu K, Sun H, Boncompte G, Westover MB, Pedemonte JC, Akeju O. The Predictive Power of Intraoperative EEG and Clinical Characteristics for Postoperative Delirium Following Cardiac Surgery. J Clin Neurophysiol. 2026 Jan 1;43(1):32-38. doi: 10.1097/WNP.0000000000001146. Epub 2025 Jan 28. | |
| 28940368 | Result | Lei L, Katznelson R, Fedorko L, Carroll J, Poonawala H, Machina M, Styra R, Rao V, Djaiani G. Cerebral oximetry and postoperative delirium after cardiac surgery: a randomised, controlled trial. Anaesthesia. 2017 Dec;72(12):1456-1466. doi: 10.1111/anae.14056. Epub 2017 Sep 22. |
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This is an exploratory single-center observational study. A formal individual participant data (IPD) sharing plan has not been established. De-identified data may be made available upon reasonable request to the corresponding author after publication, subject to institutional review board approval and a data use agreement.
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D000071257 | Emergence Delirium |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D003693 | Delirium |
| D003221 | Confusion |
| D019954 | Neurobehavioral Manifestations |
| D009461 | Neurologic Manifestations |
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Total number of days spent in the ICU from the date of ICU admission to the date of ICU discharge. |
| From ICU admission to ICU discharge, up to 30 days. |
| Hospital Length of Stay | Total number of days from hospital admission (for cardiac surgery) to hospital discharge. | From hospital admission to hospital discharge, up to 90 days. |
| 40050293 | Result | Mosharaf MP, Alam K, Gow J, Mahumud RA. Cytokines and inflammatory biomarkers and their association with post-operative delirium: a meta-analysis and systematic review. Sci Rep. 2025 Mar 6;15(1):7830. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-82992-6. |
| 24206937 | Result | Maldonado JR. Neuropathogenesis of delirium: review of current etiologic theories and common pathways. Am J Geriatr Psychiatry. 2013 Dec;21(12):1190-222. doi: 10.1016/j.jagp.2013.09.005. |
| 23992774 | Result | Inouye SK, Westendorp RG, Saczynski JS. Delirium in elderly people. Lancet. 2014 Mar 8;383(9920):911-22. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60688-1. Epub 2013 Aug 28. |
| 20373345 | Result | Gottesman RF, Grega MA, Bailey MM, Pham LD, Zeger SL, Baumgartner WA, Selnes OA, McKhann GM. Delirium after coronary artery bypass graft surgery and late mortality. Ann Neurol. 2010 Mar;67(3):338-44. doi: 10.1002/ana.21899. |
| 30933669 | Result | LaHue SC, Douglas VC, Kuo T, Conell CA, Liu VX, Josephson SA, Angel C, Brooks KB. Association between Inpatient Delirium and Hospital Readmission in Patients >/= 65 Years of Age: A Retrospective Cohort Study. J Hosp Med. 2019 Apr;14(4):201-206. doi: 10.12788/jhm.3130. |
| 22762316 | Result | Saczynski JS, Marcantonio ER, Quach L, Fong TG, Gross A, Inouye SK, Jones RN. Cognitive trajectories after postoperative delirium. N Engl J Med. 2012 Jul 5;367(1):30-9. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1112923. |
| 18577850 | Result | Bickel H, Gradinger R, Kochs E, Forstl H. High risk of cognitive and functional decline after postoperative delirium. A three-year prospective study. Dement Geriatr Cogn Disord. 2008;26(1):26-31. doi: 10.1159/000140804. Epub 2008 Jun 24. |
| 40537396 | Result | Shamsi T, Janga SR, Baskaran NU, Rangasamy V, Ramachandran RV, Chen M, Ganesh S, Novack V, Subramaniam B. Temporal Trends and Severity of Postoperative Delirium in Cardiac Surgery: Insights from a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth. 2025 Sep;39(9):2424-2435. doi: 10.1053/j.jvca.2025.05.020. Epub 2025 May 17. |
| 30113379 | Result | Devlin JW, Skrobik Y, Gelinas C, Needham DM, Slooter AJC, Pandharipande PP, Watson PL, Weinhouse GL, Nunnally ME, Rochwerg B, Balas MC, van den Boogaard M, Bosma KJ, Brummel NE, Chanques G, Denehy L, Drouot X, Fraser GL, Harris JE, Joffe AM, Kho ME, Kress JP, Lanphere JA, McKinley S, Neufeld KJ, Pisani MA, Payen JF, Pun BT, Puntillo KA, Riker RR, Robinson BRH, Shehabi Y, Szumita PM, Winkelman C, Centofanti JE, Price C, Nikayin S, Misak CJ, Flood PD, Kiedrowski K, Alhazzani W. Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Prevention and Management of Pain, Agitation/Sedation, Delirium, Immobility, and Sleep Disruption in Adult Patients in the ICU. Crit Care Med. 2018 Sep;46(9):e825-e873. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000003299. |
| D009422 |
| Nervous System Diseases |
| D011183 | Postoperative Complications |
| D010335 | Pathologic Processes |
| D013568 | Pathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms |
| D012816 | Signs and Symptoms |
| D019965 | Neurocognitive Disorders |
| D001523 | Mental Disorders |