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This retrospective observational study compares two first-line immunotherapy-based treatment regimens used for adults with locally advanced or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at Suhag Cancer Center, Egypt. The two regimens are atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and durvalumab plus tremelimumab, also known as the STRIDE regimen.
HCC is a major cancer burden in Egypt. Although both regimens have shown benefit in international clinical trials, they have not been directly compared in Egyptian patients. Differences in local disease patterns, comorbidities, access to treatment, and real-world tolerability may influence treatment outcomes. This study will use existing medical records and cancer registry data to compare outcomes between patients who received either regimen as first-line systemic therapy.
The primary aim is to compare the 12-month overall survival rate between the two treatment groups. Secondary aims include comparing progression-free survival, tumor response, disease control, severe treatment-related adverse events, and health-related quality of life. Tumor response will be assessed using RECIST 1.1 or modified RECIST criteria when available, and adverse events will be graded according to CTCAE version 5.0.
Eligible patients are adults with confirmed locally advanced or metastatic HCC who were not candidates for curative surgical or locoregional treatment and who started one of the two regimens between January 2021 and December 2024. Data will be collected retrospectively from registry and hospital records. Because this is a retrospective review of existing records, informed consent was waived by the institutional ethics committee, and patient data will be handled confidentially and anonymized.
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major public health problem in Egypt and remains an important cause of cancer-related mortality. The first-line treatment landscape for unresectable or advanced HCC has changed substantially with the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitor-based regimens. Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and durvalumab plus tremelimumab (STRIDE regimen) are both used as first-line systemic treatment options. However, there is no prospective head-to-head trial directly comparing these two regimens in Egyptian patients. Real-world local data are therefore needed to support treatment selection in routine clinical practice.
This is a retrospective, observational cohort study conducted at Suhag Cancer Center, Egypt. The study compares the real-world effectiveness, safety, and health-related quality of life outcomes of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus durvalumab plus tremelimumab in adults with locally advanced or metastatic HCC who received either regimen as first-line systemic therapy.
The study population includes eligible patients who initiated either atezolizumab plus bevacizumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab between January 2021 and December 2024. Patients must be 18 years or older, have histologically or radiologically confirmed HCC according to international diagnostic guidelines, have an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1, have locally advanced or metastatic disease not amenable to curative surgical or locoregional treatment, and have at least one follow-up visit with complete clinical and radiologic records available.
Patients will be excluded if they are younger than 18 years; have an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 2 or higher; have autoimmune disease requiring systemic immunosuppressive therapy; have prior liver transplantation or another active malignancy within the past three years, except localized skin cancer or cervical carcinoma in situ; have known HIV infection or uncontrolled active hepatitis B or C viremia; have uncontrolled cardiovascular or thromboembolic disease such as recent myocardial infarction, stroke, or pulmonary embolism within 6 months; have known central nervous system metastases or leptomeningeal disease; or are pregnant or lactating.
Data will be retrospectively retrieved from the Suhag Cancer Center cancer registry and hospital medical records. Extracted variables will include demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, treatment details, response assessments, survival outcomes, adverse events, and health-related quality of life information. Clinical variables will include age, sex, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, Child-Pugh score, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, vascular invasion, and extrahepatic metastases. Treatment variables will include regimen type, number of cycles received, dose modifications, and reasons for treatment discontinuation.
The primary endpoint is the 12-month overall survival rate. Overall survival will be measured from the start date of first-line systemic therapy to death from any cause or last known follow-up. Secondary endpoints include median progression-free survival, objective response rate, disease control rate, duration of response, grade 3 or higher treatment-related adverse events, and health-related quality of life. Progression-free survival will be measured from treatment initiation to radiologic progression or death. Tumor response will be assessed using RECIST 1.1 or modified RECIST criteria based on available imaging. Adverse events will be graded according to CTCAE version 5.0. Health-related quality of life will be evaluated using the validated EORTC QLQ-C30 questionnaire at predefined treatment and follow-up time points, when available. An exploratory analysis will assess the association between baseline alpha-fetoprotein levels and treatment outcomes, including overall survival, progression-free survival, and objective response rate.
The primary statistical hypothesis is that atezolizumab plus bevacizumab may demonstrate superior or non-inferior overall survival compared with the STRIDE regimen in patients with unresectable or metastatic HCC. Time-to-event outcomes will be summarized using Kaplan-Meier methods and compared using log-rank testing where appropriate. Cox proportional hazards models may be used to estimate hazard ratios with confidence intervals. Binary outcomes such as objective response rate and disease control rate may be compared using appropriate categorical tests or logistic regression models. Safety outcomes will be summarized descriptively and compared between treatment groups when feasible.
The planned retrospective comparison has an approximate 1:1 allocation between the two treatment groups. The analysis is exploratory and precision-oriented because the available sample size is limited and may not provide adequate power to detect modest survival differences. The analysis was based on data available at the interim cut-off date of July 1, 2025, with follow-up ongoing to complete the planned 24-month observation period.
The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the institutional ethics committee. Because the study uses existing medical records, informed consent for data review was waived. All patient data will be anonymized and handled confidentially according to applicable ethical principles and data protection requirements.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab | Patients with locally advanced or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma who received atezolizumab plus bevacizumab as first-line systemic therapy at Suhag Cancer Center between January 2021 and December 2024. Data for this cohort will be collected retrospectively from the cancer registry and hospital medical records, including clinical characteristics, treatment exposure, tumor response, survival outcomes, adverse events, and health-related quality of life when available. | ||
| Durvalumab plus Tremelimumab | Patients with locally advanced or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma who received durvalumab plus tremelimumab, also known as the STRIDE regimen, as first-line systemic therapy at Suhag Cancer Center between January 2021 and December 2024. Data for this cohort will be collected retrospectively from the cancer registry and hospital medical records, including clinical characteristics, treatment exposure, tumor response, survival outcomes, adverse events, and health-related quality of life when available. |
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| 12-Month Overall Survival Rate | Percentage of participants who are alive 12 months after initiation of first-line systemic therapy. Overall survival is defined as the time from treatment initiation with either atezolizumab plus bevacizumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab (STRIDE regimen) to death from any cause. The measure will be reported as a percentage from 0% to 100%, with a higher percentage indicating better survival. | 12 months after initiation of first-line systemic therapy |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Median Progression-Free Survival | Progression-free survival is defined as the time from initiation of first-line systemic therapy to radiologic disease progression or death from any cause, whichever occurs first. Disease progression will be assessed using RECIST 1.1 or modified RECIST criteria based on available imaging. | From treatment initiation until disease progression, death, or last follow-up, up to 24 months |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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The study population includes adult patients aged 18 years or older with histologically or radiologically confirmed locally advanced or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma who were treated at Suhag Cancer Center, Egypt. Eligible patients received either atezolizumab plus bevacizumab or durvalumab plus tremelimumab (STRIDE regimen) as first-line systemic therapy between January 2021 and December 2024. Patients must have ECOG performance status 0-1, disease not amenable to curative surgical or locoregional treatment, and at least one follow-up visit with complete clinical and radiologic records available.
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| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Esraa Abdallah Abdelkariem Gadallah, Consultant Oncologist | Sohag Oncology Center | Principal Investigator |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sohag Oncology Center | Sohag | Egypt |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38382875 | Result | Sangro B, Chan SL, Kelley RK, Lau G, Kudo M, Sukeepaisarnjaroen W, Yarchoan M, De Toni EN, Furuse J, Kang YK, Galle PR, Rimassa L, Heurgue A, Tam VC, Van Dao T, Thungappa SC, Breder V, Ostapenko Y, Reig M, Makowsky M, Paskow MJ, Gupta C, Kurland JF, Negro A, Abou-Alfa GK; HIMALAYA investigators. Four-year overall survival update from the phase III HIMALAYA study of tremelimumab plus durvalumab in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. Ann Oncol. 2024 May;35(5):448-457. doi: 10.1016/j.annonc.2024.02.005. Epub 2024 Feb 19. | |
| 38319892 |
| Label | URL |
|---|---|
| ClinicalTrials.gov record for the IMbrave150 trial evaluating atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus sorafenib in untreated locally advanced or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma. | View source |
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| Objective Response Rate | Percentage of participants who achieve complete response or partial response during treatment, as assessed using RECIST 1.1 or modified RECIST criteria based on available imaging. The measure will be reported as a percentage from 0% to 100%, with a higher percentage indicating better tumor response. | From treatment initiation until best documented response, progression, or last follow-up, up to 24 months |
| Incidence of Grade 3 or Higher Treatment-Related Adverse Events | Percentage of participants who experience grade 3 or higher treatment-related adverse events during treatment or follow-up. Adverse events will be graded according to CTCAE version 5.0. The measure will be reported as a percentage from 0% to 100%, with a higher percentage indicating greater treatment-related toxicity. | From treatment initiation until last follow-up, up to 24 months |
| Result |
| Abou-Alfa GK, Lau G, Kudo M, Chan SL, Kelley RK, Furuse J, Sukeepaisarnjaroen W, Kang YK, Van Dao T, De Toni EN, Rimassa L, Breder V, Vasilyev A, Heurgue A, Tam VC, Mody K, Thungappa SC, Ostapenko Y, Yau T, Azevedo S, Varela M, Cheng AL, Qin S, Galle PR, Ali S, Marcovitz M, Makowsky M, He P, Kurland JF, Negro A, Sangro B. Tremelimumab plus Durvalumab in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma. NEJM Evid. 2022 Aug;1(8):EVIDoa2100070. doi: 10.1056/EVIDoa2100070. Epub 2022 Jun 6. |
| 32402160 | Result | Finn RS, Qin S, Ikeda M, Galle PR, Ducreux M, Kim TY, Kudo M, Breder V, Merle P, Kaseb AO, Li D, Verret W, Xu DZ, Hernandez S, Liu J, Huang C, Mulla S, Wang Y, Lim HY, Zhu AX, Cheng AL; IMbrave150 Investigators. Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma. N Engl J Med. 2020 May 14;382(20):1894-1905. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1915745. |
| ClinicalTrials.gov record for the HIMALAYA trial evaluating durvalumab plus tremelimumab as first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. | View source |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D006528 | Carcinoma, Hepatocellular |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D000230 | Adenocarcinoma |
| D002277 | Carcinoma |
| D009375 | Neoplasms, Glandular and Epithelial |
| D009370 | Neoplasms by Histologic Type |
| D009369 | Neoplasms |
| D008113 | Liver Neoplasms |
| D004067 | Digestive System Neoplasms |
| D009371 | Neoplasms by Site |
| D004066 | Digestive System Diseases |
| D008107 | Liver Diseases |
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