Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
The goal of this observational study is to develop and validate an artificial intelligence (AI) model for predicting the risk of distant metastasis in patients with primary breast cancer. The main question it aims to answer is:
Can a multimodal AI model, trained on routinely available histopathological images, accurately predict the long-term risk of breast cancer metastasis?
Researchers will analyze existing hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) and immunohistochemistry (IHC) stained tissue slides from patients who underwent surgery between 2015 and 2025. Clinical data will be used to train the AI model and evaluate its performance in predicting metastasis.
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patients with primary breast cancer who have experienced distant metastasis outcomes within 5 years |
| ||
| Patients with primary breast cancer who have not experienced distant metastasis for at least 5 years |
|
| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diagnostic Test: AI-Based Spatial Pathomic Analysis | Other | This is an observational study with no therapeutic or procedural interventions. The "intervention" refers to the analytical method applied to existing data. Archived tissue samples (H&E and IHC stained slides) will be digitally scanned and analyzed by a multimodal artificial intelligence (AI) model to develop a risk prediction tool for distant metastasis. Patients' clinical data will be collected for model training and validation. No direct interaction with patients occurs, and no treatment decisions are influenced by this study. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Predictive accuracy for distant metastasis risk assessed by Time-dependent Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (Time-dependent AUC) | The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) will be used to evaluate the model's binary classification performance in discriminating between patients with and without distant metastasis at the 5-year post-operative time point. This metric reflects the model's classification accuracy at a specific time. | From the date of initial surgery up to 5 years post-operatively, with the occurrence of distant metastasis defined as the event of interest. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Sensitivity and Specificity | Sensitivity and Specificity will be calculated at the optimal cut-off point of the model's risk score to evaluate its binary classification performance. Sensitivity measures the model's ability to correctly identify patients who develop distant metastasis (true positive rate), while Specificity measures its ability to correctly identify patients who do not (true negative rate). |
Not provided
Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
Not provided
Not provided
The study participants will be selected from a case-control cohort of adult female patients diagnosed with primary invasive breast cancer who underwent curative surgery at participating centers (e.g., The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University) between January 2015 and December 2025.
Eligible individuals must have available, high-quality archived primary tumor tissue samples, specifically H&E-stained whole-slide images and consecutive sections for multiplex immunohistochemistry, coupled with complete clinicopathological data and long-term follow-up information documenting distant metastasis status.
The final study sample will consist of patients from this source population who meet all predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria, ensuring data integrity and cohort homogeneity for AI model development.
| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiaojiao Zhou | Contact | 0571-87784527 | zhoujj@zju.edu.cn |
Not provided
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jilin Cancer Hospital | Not yet recruiting | Changchun | Jilin | 130000 | China |
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
Not provided
|
| Assessed at the 5-year post-operative time point. |
| Concordance Index (C-index) | Harrell's Concordance Index (C-index) will be employed to assess the model's overall prognostic discrimination ability throughout the follow-up period. It evaluates the consistency of the model's risk scores in correctly ranking the time to distant metastasis-free survival among individual patients. | From the time of the initial surgical treatment until distant metastasis occurs or until the end of the follow-up (the longest duration can be up to 10 years). |
| Model calibration assessed by calibration curve | The agreement between the model-predicted probability of distant metastasis and the observed actual incidence will be visualized and assessed using a calibration curve. | From the time of the initial surgical treatment until distant metastasis occurs or until the end of the follow-up (the longest duration can be up to 10 years). |
| Cancer Institute and Hospital, Tianjin Medical University, China | Not yet recruiting | Tianjin | Tianjin Municipality | 300060 | China |
|
| 2nd Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, China | Recruiting | Hangzhou | Zhejiang | China |
|
| The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine | Not yet recruiting | Hangzhou | Zhejiang | China |
|
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D001943 | Breast Neoplasms |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D009371 | Neoplasms by Site |
| D009369 | Neoplasms |
| D001941 | Breast Diseases |
| D012871 | Skin Diseases |
| D017437 | Skin and Connective Tissue Diseases |
Not provided
Not provided