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| ID | Type | Description | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82070918 | Other Grant/Funding Number | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
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The present study aims to conduct a prospective controlled trial comparing an LSTM-based artificial intelligence (AI) prediction model and clinicians' experience in the efficacy and safety of blood glucose control in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) receiving continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (CSII) treatment in the Department of Endocrinology. The main question it aims to answer is:
Is the prediction model superior to or (at least) non-inferior to clinicians' experience?
Eligible patients who receive CSII treatment are randomly allocated into the prediction model group and the empirical group. Patients will:
Data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) represents a new frontier in the modern medical field. The research group previously constructed a database included over 20 years clinical data of short-term intensive insulin therapy (SIIT) via continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (CSII) in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes.The researchers had trained an insulin dose prediction model based on the database using long short-term memory (LSTM) AI algorithms. To establish more robust evidence to validate the efficacy and safety for this model, the present study aims to conduct a pilot prospective controlled trial comparing between AI prediction model and clinician's experience. Specifically, a randomized controlled trial is performed to compare the efficacy and safety of blood glucose control between the insulin dose prediction model and physicians' subjective experience in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) receiving CSII treatment in the Department of Endocrinology. A random number table of 400 participants will be generated using Excel, and randomly allocated into the prediction model group (n=200) and the empirical group (n=200). Medical data will be collected for all the enrolled patients, including medical history, physical examination, auxiliary test reports, continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data, in which 8 points of the blood glucose (before and 2 hours- postprandial of the 3 main meals, bedtime, and 3 a.m. in the morning) are specifically collected to feed the model for prediction and used for comparisons. For the prediction model group, baseline information upon admission (including age, body mass index [BMI], weight, waist circumference, fasting blood glucose before admission and glycated hemoglobin) is put into the model, which will immediately return the insulin dosage (basal rate and boluses for each meal) for the first day of the insulin pump treatment. Physicians will then issue and execute these orders. On the following days, the model adjust the basal rate and boluses based on the previous day's glucose levels and insulin dosages. This process will continue iteratively during the whole CSII period (around 1 to 2 weeks based on whether or not the patient is newly diagnosed or with different disease durations). Insulin pump will be suspended after the administration of dinner bolus on the final day. Fasting blood glucose on the next day after insulin pump suspension will be recorded to conclude the study. In the control (emperical) group, physicians (residents under the guidance of attending doctors) determine insulin dosage based on individual clinical experience and daily glucose monitoring, with patient data collection identical to the prediction model group. Statistical analyses comparing between-group differences in glucose control during CSII treatment, such as time in range (TIR), time below range (TBR), mean blood glucose, glycemic variability, and post-therapy fasting glucose, insulin doses, etc to evaluate the efficacy and saftey of the two insulin dosage determination methods.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction model group | Experimental | For the prediction model group, baseline information upon admission (including age, gender, body mass index [BMI], weight, waist circumference, fasting blood glucose before admission, glycated hemoglobin) will be put into the model, which will immediately return the insulin dosage for the first day of insulin pump treatment (basal rate and boluses of each meal). Physicians will then issue and execute these orders. On the following days, the model will adjust the basal rate and the boluses based on the blood glucose level on the previous day and the insulin dosages. This process continue iteratively for the whole CSII treatment period (about 1 to 2 weeks based on whether or not the patient is newly diagnosed or with different disease duration). The insulin pump is suspended after the administration of dinner bolus on the final day. Fasting blood glucose on the next day after insulin pump suspension will be recorded to conclude the study. |
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| Empirical group | Active Comparator | During the CSII treatment, clinicians (mainly residents under the guidance of attending doctors) determine the everyday insulin dosages based on clinical experience and daily glucose monitoring, with patient data collection identical to the experimental group. |
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| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSII in the prediction model group | Drug |
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Time in range | Time in range refers to the percentage time in range between 3.9mmol/L and 10.0 mmol/L in continuous glucose monitoring data during the continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment period. | During continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment period(assessed up to 2 weeks, the treatment period between the initiation and suspension of the insulin pump) |
| Time below range | Time below range refers to percentage time of glucose<3.9mmol/L in continuous glucose monitoring data during the continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment period. | During continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment period(assessed up to 2 weeks, the treatment period between the initiation and suspension of the insulin pump) |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Post-therapy fasting blood glucose | Insulin pump is suspended after administration of dinner bolus on the final day of continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment. Fasting blood glucose is collected on the next moning before breakfast (12 hours after insulin pump suspension). | 12 hours after insulin pump suspension. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Insulin dosage during continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment period | Total insulin dosage per body weight in kilograme on the first day, on the day of maximum insulin dose and final day of the continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment | During continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment period(assessed up to 2 weeks, the treatment period between the initiation and suspension of the insulin pump) |
Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhimin Huang, MD. & PhD. | Contact | +86 13925057613 | hzhim@mail.sysu.edu.cn | |
| Yuping Cao, B.S. | Contact | +86 15107688525 | caoyp5@mail2.sysu.edu.cn |
| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Yanbing LI, MD.&Ph.D | First Affiliated Hospital of Sun yat-sen U | Study Chair |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Department of Endocrinology and Diabetes Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University | Recruiting | Guangzhou | Guangdong | 510080 | China |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39406449 | Background | Liu L, Ke W, Li H, Li F, Fan G, Kuang J, Ma J, Zhang X, Ji B, Li S, Du Y, Xue Y, Lyu Z, Gao L, Qu S, Shi Y, Yan L, Deng W, Xu C, Dai P, Xu L, Liu J, Wan X, Wei G, Yu S, Hong S, Zhang P, Huang Z, Cao X, Liao Z, Xiao H, Mu Y, Handelsman Y, Li Y. Intense simplified strategy for newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in patients with severe hyperglycaemia: multicentre, open label, randomised trial. BMJ. 2024 Oct 15;387:e080122. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2024-080122. | |
| 22228747 |
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D003920 | Diabetes Mellitus |
| D003924 | Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D044882 | Glucose Metabolism Disorders |
| D008659 | Metabolic Diseases |
| D009750 | Nutritional and Metabolic Diseases |
| D004700 | Endocrine System Diseases |
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The insulin dose prediction model is constructed based on the database from the investigator's department, included all the type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients who underwent short-term CSII therapy over the past 20 years. By combining patients' clinical characteristics, the investigators have input the daily capillary blood glucose (CBG) readings and insulin dose adjustment orders from the intensive therapy period into machine learning algorithms. Using a long short-term memory (LSTM) model, the system automatically extracted features and established memory patterns. Through iterative training and model optimization, the model was developed to predict the daily required insulin infusion doses (both basal rates and preprandial boluses) for any given blood glucose level.
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| CSII in the empirical group | Drug |
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| HbA1c at 3 months after discharge |
Patients are followed at 3 months after discharge from hospital, glycated hemoglobin A1c is collected during the visit. |
| 3 months after discharge. |
| Background |
| Chen A, Huang Z, Wan X, Deng W, Wu J, Li L, Cai Q, Xiao H, Li Y. Attitudes toward diabetes affect maintenance of drug-free remission in patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes after short-term continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion treatment. Diabetes Care. 2012 Mar;35(3):474-81. doi: 10.2337/dc11-1638. Epub 2012 Jan 6. |
| 18502299 | Background | Weng J, Li Y, Xu W, Shi L, Zhang Q, Zhu D, Hu Y, Zhou Z, Yan X, Tian H, Ran X, Luo Z, Xian J, Yan L, Li F, Zeng L, Chen Y, Yang L, Yan S, Liu J, Li M, Fu Z, Cheng H. Effect of intensive insulin therapy on beta-cell function and glycaemic control in patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes: a multicentre randomised parallel-group trial. Lancet. 2008 May 24;371(9626):1753-60. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(08)60762-X. |
| 15504992 | Background | Li Y, Xu W, Liao Z, Yao B, Chen X, Huang Z, Hu G, Weng J. Induction of long-term glycemic control in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients is associated with improvement of beta-cell function. Diabetes Care. 2004 Nov;27(11):2597-602. doi: 10.2337/diacare.27.11.2597. |