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This international, multicenter retrospective study aims to develop a deep learning (DL)-based predictive model to identify malignant transformation in pancreatic cystic lesions, improving upon current clinical guidelines. The model will integrate clinical, biochemical, and multimodal imaging data. Several 3D convolutional neural networks will be trained using advanced preprocessing, data augmentation, and hybrid fusion techniques. Model performance will be compared to that of existing international guidelines. The study involves no additional procedures for patients and adheres to strict data anonymization and privacy regulations.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| PCLs patients | Pancreatic resective surgery performed for pancreatic cystic lesions with high risk of malignant degeneration based on clinical, biochemical, and/or radiological features following current guidelines on pancreatic cystic lesions management. |
|
| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pancreatic surgery | Procedure | Pancreatic resective surgery performed for pancreatic cystic lesions with high risk of malignant degeneration based on clinical, biochemical, and/or radiological features following current guidelines on pancreatic cystic lesions management. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction of malignant degeneration of pancreatic cystics lesions | Predict the presence of malignant degeneration (defined as: high grade dysplasia, in situ PADC, or T1 PADC) in pancreatic cystic lesion(s) using artificial intelligence model based on clinical, biochemical, and radiological features. This will be measured through Area Under the Receiver Operator Characteristic curve (AUROC) assesment. AUROC varies between 0.5 and 1, corresponding to no class separation capacity and full class separation capacity, respectively. | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy of performance evaluation | the number of true positives and true negatives among all predictions. It varies between 0 (no correct prediction) to 1 (full correct predictions). | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| Precision of performance evaluation |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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Patients who underwent pancreatic surgery for pancreatic cystic lesions, in the absence of preoperative evidence of cancer. Indication of surgery must be based on one or more current guidelines concerning pancreatic cystic lesions management.
| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea CHIERICI | Contact | +33 0634799833 | chierici.ap@chu-nice.fr |
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D010190 | Pancreatic Neoplasms |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D004067 | Digestive System Neoplasms |
| D009371 | Neoplasms by Site |
| D009369 | Neoplasms |
| D004701 | Endocrine Gland Neoplasms |
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The number of true positives divided by all the positive predictions (true positives and false positives). It varies between 0 (no correct prediction) to 1 (full correct predictions). |
| 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| Recall of performance evaluation | The number of true positives divided by the actual positive instances in the dataset (true positives and false negatives). It varies between 0 (no correct prediction) to 1 (full correct predictions). | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| Balanced accuracy | the aritmethic mean of sensitivity and specificity. It varies between 0 (no correct prediction) to 1 (full correct predictions). | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| F1-score | It combines precision and recall. It ranges from 0-100%, and a higher F1 score denotes a better quality classifier. | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| Confusion matrix | A visual representation of true positives, false positives, true negatives, and false negatives. It is depicted through a table. | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| Log-loss | It indicates how close the prediction probability is to the corresponding actual/true value (0 or 1 in case of binary classification). The more the predicted probability diverges from the actual value, the higher is the log-loss value. | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| Cohen's Kappa | A metric used to measure the level of agreement between two raters which can be a useful tool to gauge the performance of a classification model. It accounts for the fact that the raters may happen to agree on some items purely by chance. It varies between 0 (no correct prediction) to 1 (full correct predictions). | 90 days from patients hospital discharge. |
| D004066 |
| Digestive System Diseases |
| D010182 | Pancreatic Diseases |
| D004700 | Endocrine System Diseases |