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Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of morbidity, mortality and healthcare costs in the United Kingdom. Ethnic minorities like South Asians (SA) have a 3-5 times higher incidence of CVD as predicted by various risk scores despite similar or fewer traditional cardiovascular risk factors.
Computed Tomography Coronary Angiography (CTCA) is able to outline the coronary anatomy determining the site, severity and type of atherosclerotic plaque location in the heart arteries. The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines recommends CTCA as the first line investigation for stable chest pain considered to be coming from the heart (angina).
However there is no pathway for the patients who are asymptomatic but at high risk of CVD, such as the SA cohort. Current practice involves using risk scores to guide management of asymptomatic adults. One recommended and commonly used score is the Q-risk score (the QRISK ® 3-2018 risk calculatorhttps://qrisk.org > three). This score incorporates ethnicity amongst other risk factors and patients with a risk ≥10% of having a heart attack or stroke in the next 10 years are offered primary prevention treatment with low dose statin therapy. For example, an average (height 164cm weight 70kg) 40 year old male of SA descent, without symptoms who is a non-smoker but with Diabetes Mellitus (DM) on tablet treatment scores 5.8% - this risk is not high enough to warrant treatment with a statin unless he also has abnormally raised cholesterol levels. But this patient is still high risk of CVD due to his ethnicity and DM. There is no current evidence to tailor treatment in such asymptomatic, high risk ethnic minorities.
Similar to screening programs for cancer, screening CTCA, compared to risk stratification with the QRISK ® 3 score, may help in risk stratification of a higher proportion of SA patients. 50 asymptomatic SA patients from 2 sites (25 patients each site) with one CV risk factor will be randomised to either Q-risk 3 score or to screening CTCA.
This is a pilot study- 50 patients, randomised 1:1 to each arm (25 patients per arm). This is 10% of the original sample size of 500. As this is a 2 centre study, each centre will recruit 25 patients and the financial requirement will be the responsibility of the individual centre.
Potential participants will be recruited from specialist non-Cardiology clinics in Sandwell and West Birmingham Hospitals (SWBH) NHS Trust and the Barts London hospital. Participants will be approached by members of the clinical care team when they attend the specialist non-Cardiology clinic. This study will be discussed with the participants and the patient information sheet handed over to them. Assent will be taken for further review in clinic by a member of the research team. Following this and written informed consent, they will be randomised to either CTCA or Q-risk 3 score.
Non-English-speaking patients will have a Trust translator (either language line or in-person).
Randomisation: Block randomisation with sealed envelope technique after written informed consent. Randomisation will be performed by members of the research team. Patients will randomised 1:1 to the interventional arm (CTCA) or Q-risk 3 score.
Blood tests: After consent, a routine blood sample of 20 millilitres (ml) - will be collected. The blood sample will be analysed at sites local lab and the following results will be collected: full blood count, urea and electrolytes, glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c), lipid profile and lipoprotein a (Lp (a) ).
Follow up: At one year from recruitment, patients will have a telephonic follow up to obtain information regarding occurrence of any events and/or hospitalisation.
Data collection, management and analysis:
Confidentiality: No identifiable data will be leaving the Trust. The respective sites (SWBH and Barts hospitals) will individually perform the CTCA and Q-risk 3 score on their cohort of patients and report it individually Authorised members of the Sponsor organisation will monitor the research at appropriate timelines and therefore have access to patients' identifiable information. Patients recruited will be allocated a participant ID.
Pseudonymised data will be collected on electronic case report forms (CRFs). Following completion of the study, anonymised data will be analysed. NHS indemnity will apply to this study. Study data will be stored for a maximum of 5 years after closure.
Ethics: All required ethical approval(s) for the trial will be sought using the Integrated Research Application System. The trial will be conducted in accordance with all relevant regulations.
Before enrolling patients into the trial, each trial site must ensure that the local conduct of the trial has the agreement of the relevant NHS Trust Research & Development (R&D) department. Sites will not be permitted to enrol patients into the trial until written confirmation of Capacity and Capability (CC&C) is received. All patients will be consented prior to inclusion in this study.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q risk 3 score | No Intervention | Q risk 3 score will be calculated and if the 10 year risk of cardiovascular events is >/=10%, patients in this arm will receive primary prevention treatment | |
| screening CTCA | Experimental | Patients randomised to the CTCA arm will receive primary prevention treatment if plaque is present on the CTCA |
|
| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTCA | Diagnostic Test | Screening CTCA will be performed in the experimental arm after 1:1 randomisation using sealed envelope technique |
|
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Patients treated by primary prevention | To compare the proportion of patients treated by primary prevention therapy with screening CTCA versus Q-risk 3 score | through study completion, an average of 1 year |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Association of Q risk 3 score with plaque seen on CTCA | To assess the association of Q-risk 3 score with plaque on CTCA by receiver operating curve | through study completion, an average of 1 year |
| Predictors of plaque on CTCA |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Asymptomatic South Asian patients of age
Plus at least one of the following risk factors:
Exclusion Criteria:
Patients meeting any of the following criteria will be excluded
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| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinoda Dr Sharma, FRCP FESC | Contact | +441215075841 | vinodasharma@nhs.net |
| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Vinoda Sharma, FRCP FESC | Sandwell & West Birmingham Hospitals NHS Trust | Study Chair |
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| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16439223 | Background | Lim MC, Wong TW, Yaneza LO, De Larrazabal C, Lau JK, Boey HK. Non-invasive detection of significant coronary artery disease with multi-section computed tomography angiography in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. Clin Radiol. 2006 Feb;61(2):174-80. doi: 10.1016/j.crad.2005.09.006. | |
| 37966910 | Background |
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This is a pilot study which will help to conduct larger studies which will confirm or refute the pilot study findings
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D002318 | Cardiovascular Diseases |
| D058070 | Asymptomatic Diseases |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D020969 | Disease Attributes |
| D010335 | Pathologic Processes |
| D013568 | Pathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms |
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Pilot randomised study with patients being allocated 1:1 to either Q-risk 3 score or screening CTCA
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To assess the predictors of plaque on CTCA by Cox proportional hazard analysis
| through study completion, an average of 1 year |
| Hughes DM, Coronado JIC, Schofield P, Yiu ZZN, Zhao SS. The predictive accuracy of cardiovascular disease risk prediction tools in inflammatory arthritis and psoriasis: an observational validation study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Rheumatology (Oxford). 2024 Dec 1;63(12):3432-3441. doi: 10.1093/rheumatology/kead610. |
| 28536104 | Background | Hippisley-Cox J, Coupland C, Brindle P. Development and validation of QRISK3 risk prediction algorithms to estimate future risk of cardiovascular disease: prospective cohort study. BMJ. 2017 May 23;357:j2099. doi: 10.1136/bmj.j2099. |
| 12859028 | Background | Harding S. Mortality of migrants from the Indian subcontinent to England and Wales: effect of duration of residence. Epidemiology. 2003 May;14(3):287-92. |