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Cancer poses a major public health challenge in China. Early detection can improve treatment outcomes and survival rates. In this study, we will conduct a large-scale, prospective, multi-center cohort study to evaluate the utility of AI-assisted non-contrast CT for multi-cancer screening.
The study aims to enroll 1 million asymptomatic participants undergoing routine health examinations, using an AI imaging model based on non-contrast CT to detect seven cancers such as lung, liver, gastric, colorectal, esophageal, pancreatic, and breast cancers. Positive cases will be required to be referred to Shanghai Changhai Hospital for further imaging and care based on National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) and American College of Radiology (ACR) guidelines. The goal is to assess the AI model's diagnostic performance for seven cancer types, especially for early-stage, resectable tumors.
Cancer has become a major public health issue in China, seriously affecting population health, the economy, and social development. In 2022, there were an estimated 4.82 million new cancer cases and 2.57 million cancer-related deaths. Lung cancer, liver cancer, gastric cancer, colorectal cancer, esophageal cancer, pancreatic cancer, and breast cancer are the seven leading causes of cancer-related mortality. A successful earlier detection strategy would allow patients to receive timely interventions, improve treatment outcomes, enhance overall survival, and reduce the complexity and cost of treatment.
In this study, we will conduct a large-scale, prospective, multi-center cohort study, aiming to evaluate the utility of AI-assisted non-contrast CT for multi-cancer screening. The population consists of individuals who have undergone non-contrast abdominal or chest CT scans at Meinian Onehealth Health Examination Center or Shanghai Changhai Health Examination Center, with an expected enrollment of 1 million participants. A multi-cancer screening model via non-contrast CT, developed by Alibaba DAMO Academy, will be integrated into the PACS system of health examination centers. The imaging AI model will be used to automatically detect various cancerous lesions, including lung cancer, liver cancer, gastric cancer, colorectal cancer, esophageal cancer, pancreatic cancer, and breast cancer. Subjects identified with positive lesions by the AI model will be required to be referred to Shanghai Changhai Hospital for further imaging examinations (such as contrast-enhanced CT, MRI, Endoscopy, etc.) to confirm the final disease status and formulate a treatment plan. Additionally, the medical team should follow care pathways developed based on guidelines from NCCN and ACR, and if necessary, patients will be directed to the multidisciplinary team (MDT) clinic for specific cancer types to determine the diagnostic procedures. The ultimate goal of this study is to comprehensively assess the diagnostic performance metrics of the AI model for each of the seven cancer types individually. These metrics include, but are not limited to, sensitivity, specificity, and positive/negative predictive value. Particular emphasis will be placed on evaluating the model's efficacy in detecting early-stage, resectable tumors. The overarching aim is to determine whether the implementation of this AI-assisted screening approach could potentially lead to improved overall survival rates through earlier detection and intervention.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Health Examination Cohort | Experimental | Asymptomatic participants in routine health examinations receive abdominal or chest non-contrast CT scans, categorized as follows:
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| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI-Assisted Non-Contrast CT for Multi-Cancer Screening | Diagnostic Test | Participants identified by the AI model as having potential cancerous lesions, including those suspected of lung, liver, gastric, colorectal, esophageal, pancreatic, and breast cancer, will be required to undergo blood tests (for tumor markers) and additional imaging studies (such as contrast-enhanced CT, MRI, Endoscopy, etc.) to confirm the diagnosis of cancerous lesions. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Diagnostic yield | Determine the diagnostic performance metrics of the multi-cancer screening model for each of the seven cancer types (lung, liver, gastric, colorectal, esophageal, pancreatic, and breast cancer) independently. The metrics will encompass sensitivity, specificity, positive/negative predictive values, and overall accuracy. | 3 years |
| Incidence | Determine the incidence of the seven cancer types (lung, liver, gastric, colorectal, esophageal, pancreatic, and breast cancer) among the health examination cohort. | 3 years |
| Resectable rate | Determine the proportion of resectable tumor among detected cases for each of the seven cancer types (lung, liver, gastric, colorectal, esophageal, pancreatic, and breast cancer). | 3 years |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Survival time | Calculate the survival time of patients diagnosed with the following cancers (lung, liver, gastric, colorectal, esophageal, pancreatic, and breast cancer) from the point of diagnosis and treatment initiation. | 3 years |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Beilei, M.D. | Contact | 86-13774238083 | lilly_wang@126.com | |
| Guo Shiwei, M.D. | Contact | 86-18621500666 | gestwa@163.com |
| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Jin Gang, M.D. | Department of general surgery, Changhai Hospital | Study Chair |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changhai Hospital | Recruiting | Shanghai | Shanghai Municipality | 200433 | China |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39036382 | Background | Han B, Zheng R, Zeng H, Wang S, Sun K, Chen R, Li L, Wei W, He J. Cancer incidence and mortality in China, 2022. J Natl Cancer Cent. 2024 Feb 2;4(1):47-53. doi: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.01.006. eCollection 2024 Mar. | |
| 38230766 | Background | Siegel RL, Giaquinto AN, Jemal A. Cancer statistics, 2024. CA Cancer J Clin. 2024 Jan-Feb;74(1):12-49. doi: 10.3322/caac.21820. Epub 2024 Jan 17. |
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D008175 | Lung Neoplasms |
| D008113 | Liver Neoplasms |
| D013274 | Stomach Neoplasms |
| D003110 | Colonic Neoplasms |
| D004938 | Esophageal Neoplasms |
| D010190 | Pancreatic Neoplasms |
| D001943 | Breast Neoplasms |
| D004194 | Disease |
| D009369 | Neoplasms |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D012142 | Respiratory Tract Neoplasms |
| D013899 | Thoracic Neoplasms |
| D009371 | Neoplasms by Site |
| D008171 | Lung Diseases |
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| 37985692 | Background | Cao K, Xia Y, Yao J, Han X, Lambert L, Zhang T, Tang W, Jin G, Jiang H, Fang X, Nogues I, Li X, Guo W, Wang Y, Fang W, Qiu M, Hou Y, Kovarnik T, Vocka M, Lu Y, Chen Y, Chen X, Liu Z, Zhou J, Xie C, Zhang R, Lu H, Hager GD, Yuille AL, Lu L, Shao C, Shi Y, Zhang Q, Liang T, Zhang L, Lu J. Large-scale pancreatic cancer detection via non-contrast CT and deep learning. Nat Med. 2023 Dec;29(12):3033-3043. doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02640-w. Epub 2023 Nov 20. |
| 37805216 | Background | Schrag D, Beer TM, McDonnell CH 3rd, Nadauld L, Dilaveri CA, Reid R, Marinac CR, Chung KC, Lopatin M, Fung ET, Klein EA. Blood-based tests for multicancer early detection (PATHFINDER): a prospective cohort study. Lancet. 2023 Oct 7;402(10409):1251-1260. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01700-2. |
| 36849097 | Background | Gao Q, Lin YP, Li BS, Wang GQ, Dong LQ, Shen BY, Lou WH, Wu WC, Ge D, Zhu QL, Xu Y, Xu JM, Chang WJ, Lan P, Zhou PH, He MJ, Qiao GB, Chuai SK, Zang RY, Shi TY, Tan LJ, Yin J, Zeng Q, Su XF, Wang ZD, Zhao XQ, Nian WQ, Zhang S, Zhou J, Cai SL, Zhang ZH, Fan J. Unintrusive multi-cancer detection by circulating cell-free DNA methylation sequencing (THUNDER): development and independent validation studies. Ann Oncol. 2023 May;34(5):486-495. doi: 10.1016/j.annonc.2023.02.010. Epub 2023 Feb 26. |
| 34176681 | Background | Klein EA, Richards D, Cohn A, Tummala M, Lapham R, Cosgrove D, Chung G, Clement J, Gao J, Hunkapiller N, Jamshidi A, Kurtzman KN, Seiden MV, Swanton C, Liu MC. Clinical validation of a targeted methylation-based multi-cancer early detection test using an independent validation set. Ann Oncol. 2021 Sep;32(9):1167-1177. doi: 10.1016/j.annonc.2021.05.806. Epub 2021 Jun 24. |
| 35120599 | Background | Hackshaw A, Clarke CA, Hartman AR. New genomic technologies for multi-cancer early detection: Rethinking the scope of cancer screening. Cancer Cell. 2022 Feb 14;40(2):109-113. doi: 10.1016/j.ccell.2022.01.012. Epub 2022 Feb 3. |
| D012140 |
| Respiratory Tract Diseases |
| D004067 | Digestive System Neoplasms |
| D004066 | Digestive System Diseases |
| D008107 | Liver Diseases |
| D005770 | Gastrointestinal Neoplasms |
| D005767 | Gastrointestinal Diseases |
| D013272 | Stomach Diseases |
| D015179 | Colorectal Neoplasms |
| D007414 | Intestinal Neoplasms |
| D003108 | Colonic Diseases |
| D007410 | Intestinal Diseases |
| D006258 | Head and Neck Neoplasms |
| D004935 | Esophageal Diseases |
| D004701 | Endocrine Gland Neoplasms |
| D010182 | Pancreatic Diseases |
| D004700 | Endocrine System Diseases |
| D001941 | Breast Diseases |
| D012871 | Skin Diseases |
| D017437 | Skin and Connective Tissue Diseases |
| D010335 | Pathologic Processes |
| D013568 | Pathological Conditions, Signs and Symptoms |