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This study aims to develop and validate a Nomogram (mCNS) model for predicting long-term survival in elderly patients following curative resection for advanced gastric cancer. The study is a retrospective multi-center analysis involving 924 gastric cancer patients treated at the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery of the Affiliated Union Hospital of Fujian Medical University between 2009 and 2013, and 512 patients aged 65 and above who underwent gastric resection at the Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital of Dalian University between 2011 and 2018. An online prognostic tool is introduced to assist clinicians in predicting patient prognosis and customizing treatment and follow-up strategies.
Data were collected from 1436 gastric cancer patients, of which 555 elderly patients with advanced gastric cancer were ultimately included after applying exclusion criteria. Patients were divided into training and testing cohorts from the Fujian Medical University Affiliated Union Hospital and Dalian University Affiliated Zhongshan Hospital. The study was approved by the institutional review boards with a waiver of informed consent due to the use of anonymized secondary data. The analysis utilized the Cox proportional hazards model to select key variables for predicting overall survival (OS). The study also implemented rigorous data handling procedures, including multiple imputations for missing data. The development of an online prognostic tool based on the Nomogram model is part of the project, designed to provide real-time survival predictions through a user-friendly interface for clinical application.
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Overall Survival | The proportion of patients who are alive at five years after treatment for elderly gastric cancer patients. | 5 years or 60 months. |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| 3-Year Overall Survival | The proportion of patients who have survived without any signs or symptoms of gastric cancer for 3 years after the initial treatment. | 3 years or 36 months. |
| 1-Year Overall Survival |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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The study population comprises elderly patients, aged 65 and above, diagnosed with gastric cancer and who underwent curative gastrectomy within a ten-year period from January 2009 to December 2018. Participants were selected from two major tertiary care centers in China, ensuring a comprehensive representation of the demographic. Strict adherence to selection criteria ensured the use of a consistent and high-quality dataset for subsequent analysis in developing a robust prognostic model. The study focuses on the elderly demographic, addressing a significant gap in prognostic tools for this age group, which often presents with distinct clinical and therapeutic challenges.
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| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Chang-Ming Huang, M.D | Fujian Medical University Union Hospital | Principal Investigator |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Department of Gastric Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital | Fuzhou | Fujian | China |
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D013274 | Stomach Neoplasms |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D005770 | Gastrointestinal Neoplasms |
| D004067 | Digestive System Neoplasms |
| D009371 | Neoplasms by Site |
| D009369 | Neoplasms |
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The proportion of patients who have survived without any signs or symptoms of gastric cancer for 1 years after the initial treatment.
| 1 years or 12 months. |
| D004066 |
| Digestive System Diseases |
| D005767 | Gastrointestinal Diseases |
| D013272 | Stomach Diseases |