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With increasing life expectancy, the elderly population is growing. Hip fractures significantly increase morbidity and mortality, particularly within the first year, among elderly patients. Managing anesthesia in these elderly patients, who often have multiple comorbidities, is challenging. Identifying perioperative factors that can reduce mortality will benefit the perioperative management of these patients.
The aim of this study is to develop and validate a machine learning based model to predict the length of hospital stay for hip fracture patients after PACU. Different machine learning algorithms such as R language Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Artificial Neural Networks and Logistic Regression will be used in the study and the best performing model will be determined. In addition, the prediction mechanism of the model will be examined with SHAP analysis and its applicability in clinical decision processes will be evaluated. Thus, by predicting the length of hospital stay, clinicians will be enabled to manage patient care processes more effectively.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| > 7 days LOS | This cohort includes patients whose postoperative hospital length of stay exceeded 7 days. The group was formed based on the median LOS determined in the overall study population. No intervention was administered. The group is used for training and evaluating a machine learning model aimed at predicting prolonged hospitalization (>7 days) based on preoperative and intraoperative clinical features. | ||
| <= 7 days LOS | This cohort includes patients whose postoperative hospital length of stay was 7 days or less. The grouping was based on the median LOS observed in the total sample to ensure balanced classification for the machine learning model. No intervention was administered. Clinical data were used to train and test an AI algorithm for hospital LOS prediction. |
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction of Length of Hospital Stay in Hip Fracture Patients After Post-Anesthesia Care Unit Using Artificial Intelligence | Unit of Measure: Days
| Assessed up to 30 days from PACU admission to hospital discharge |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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Patient data will be accessed retrospectively via the hospital record system. Consistent with the literature, in elderly patients with hip fractures, risk factors for mortality will be assessed preoperatively and postoperatively as well as postoperative complications Patients with and without mortality will be examined in two separate subgroups. All studies for machine learning classification will be conducted at the Artificial Intelligence and Simulation Systems Research and Development Laboratory at Kocaeli University's Faculty of Engineering and will be supervised by a faculty member specializing in artificial intelligence and machine learning.
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| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaeli University | İzmit | Kocaeli̇ | 41100 | Turkey (Türkiye) |
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| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D006620 | Hip Fractures |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D005264 | Femoral Fractures |
| D050723 | Fractures, Bone |
| D014947 | Wounds and Injuries |
| D025981 | Hip Injuries |
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| D007869 |
| Leg Injuries |