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Rationale:
Recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) is defined as the loss of two or more conceptions before the fetus reaches viability. It affects 1-3% of all fertile couples and despite extensive diagnostic work-up, in only around 30% an underlying cause is identified. Several factors may increase the risk for miscarriage, but the chance of a normal, successful pregnancy is still high. So, in supporting couples with RPL, an important part of the clinical management of these couples is to provide couples with accurate prognoses for their next pregnancy. The main limitation in current prediction models is the lack of a sufficiently large cohort, adjustment for relevant risk factors such that prognoses are individualized, and separating between the cumulative live birth rate and the chance that the next conception will lead to a live birth. In this project therefore we aim to make an individualized prognosis regarding the future chance of live birth and the chance of a healthy child. This could then lead to improved wellbeing and the ability of making future reproductive choices.
Objectives:
Primary objective: to predict the chance of a live birth within three years after intake in couples with unexplained RPL
Secondary objectives:
Study design: A multicenter retrospective and prospective cohort study.
Study population:
Couples with females aged ≤42 years in both prospective and retrospective inclusion.
Retrospective inclusion: Couples with RPL who visited the RPL outpatient clinic in participating centers from 2006 until the start of this study.
Prospective inclusion: new couples with RPL who will visit the clinic from 2021 onwards.
Main study parameters/endpoints:
Nature and extent of the burden and risks associated with participation, benefit and group relatedness:
Participating in this study does not yield any risks. There could be a burden in case of retrospectively collecting data. Participating does not yield direct benefits for the subjects, however it may lead to future improvements of care for couples with RPL.
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| Label | Type | Description | Intervention Names |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prospective cohort of couples with RPL |
| ||
| Retrospective cohort op couples with RPL |
|
| Name | Type | Description | Arm Group Labels | Other Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observation of pregnancies after intake | Other | Monitoring pregnancies after intake at a dedicated recurrent pregnancy loss clinic to predict pregnancy success chances in couples with recurrent pregnancy loss |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Live birth of RPL couples within three years assessed by ultrasound or hCG after intake at the RPL clinic | 3 - 5 years |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Pregnancy outcomes since intake (miscarriage, ongoing pregnancy, live birth) assessed by ultrasound, hCG, or "take home baby" | miscarriages are assessed via ultrasound or pregnancy tests (positive test later followed by negative test). Ongoing pregnancy when ultrasound assessment is known but further follow up is missing, and live birth when pregnancy ends with the live birth of a child. | 3 - 5 years |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Couples that fulfill the following criteria are included (according to the ESHRE Recurrent Pregnancy Loss Guideline 2017):
RPL in the current relationship: defined as the loss of ≥ 2 preceding pregnancies. These pregnancy losses include:
Dutch or English speaking couple
Couples with females aged ≤42 years at intake
Exclusion Criteria:
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Couples with RPL who have visited or will visit an "early pregnancy unit" or "RPL outpatient clinic" of the Leiden University Medical Centre (LUMC), Erasmus Medical Centre (EMC) or Amsterdam University Medical Centre (Amsterdam UMC) from 2006 onwards.
| Name | Role | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelos Youssef, MD | Contact | +31715262896 | a.youssef@lumc.nl |
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| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36153018 | Derived | Youssef A, van der Hoorn ML, van Eekelen R, van Geloven N, van Wely M, Smits MAJ, Mulders A, van Lith JM, Goddijn M, Lashley E. Development of the OPAL prediction model for prediction of live birth in couples with recurrent pregnancy loss: protocol for a prospective and retrospective cohort study in the Netherlands. BMJ Open. 2022 Sep 23;12(9):e062402. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062402. |
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| Time to pregnancy since intake measured in days | Time that has passed since couple had an intake at the RPL clinic until first pregnancy, measured in days until the first day of the last menstruation of the first pregnancy after intake | 3 - 5 years |
| Time between pregnancies since intake measured in days | Time that has passed between each pregnancy a couple had since intake at the RPL clinic, measured in days between the end of the last pregnancy and until the first day of the last menstruation of the new pregnancy | 3 - 5 years |
| Pregnancy complications since intake as registered by gynecologist or midwife | All complications during pregnancy and during labor registered by caregiver (gynecologist or midwife) in all pregnancies after intake at the RPL clinic | 3 - 5 years |