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Background:
A predictive factor is a measure that predicts treatment response. Decisions on internal fixations of lower limb fractures should regard predictive factors to personalize (e.g. age) treatment. However for most potentially influencing factors valid data on the predictive value is sparse.
Objectives:
The objective of this study is to identify predictive factors and quantify their predictive ability for treatment failure in patients with limb fractures treated with osteosynthesis.
Methods:
Patients Adult patients (≥18 year) with isolated fractures scheduled for urgent or semi-urgent surgery using internal fixations because of lower limb fractures.
The predictive value of the following exposures will be analyzed:
Outcome The outcome will be (time to) reoperation of the same fracture because of failure of internal fixation due to nonunion or implant failure.
Study design A prospective observational cohort study will be performed. Sample size 300 patients will be included.
Statistical analysis:
For the main analysis a multivariate stratified Cox proportional hazard model will be used. The Model will be stratified according to the indication. In the Cox proportional hazard model all predictive factors will be entered simultaneously to quantify the independent influence (adjusted for all other factors) of each factor. The strength of prediction will be described with hazard rations and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals.
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Failure of internal fixation | Failure of internal fixation due to nonunion or implant failure | 6 months +/- 2 weeks (survival analysis) |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Pain | Pain numerical rating scale (NRS) >3 | 6 months +/- 2 weeks |
| Physical functioning | E.g. climbing stairs | 6 months +/- 2 weeks |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Adult patients (≥18 years) with isolated fractures scheduled for urgent or semi-urgent surgery using internal fixations because of the following lower limb fractures will be included:
Exclusion Criteria:
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Patients with lower limb fractures.
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| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Tim Mathes, Dr. | University of Witten/Herdecke | Principal Investigator |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinic for orthopedics, trauma surgery and sports traumatology, hospital Cologne Merheim | Cologne | North-Rhine-Westfalia | 51109 | Germany |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34530793 | Derived | Prediger B, Tjardes T, Probst C, Heu-Parvaresch A, Glatt A, Dos Anjos DR, Bouillon B, Mathes T. Factors predicting failure of internal fixations of fractures of the lower limbs: a prospective cohort study. BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2021 Sep 16;22(1):798. doi: 10.1186/s12891-021-04688-6. |
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All data on predictive factors and outcomes will be made available. Published as supplemental material open access (anticipated 12/2018).
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| Type | Date | Date Unknown |
|---|---|---|
| Release | Jun 22, 2022 | |
| Reset | Apr 4, 2023 |
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| Release Date | Unrelease Date | Unrelease Date Unknown | Reset Date | MCP Release Number |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2022 | Apr 4, 2023 |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D050723 | Fractures, Bone |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D014947 | Wounds and Injuries |
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