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Patients with a history of blood clots are at risk of developing additional clots in the future. Doctors use a tool called a clinical decision rule to tell them how likely it is that a patient has a blood clot and if they should have further testing to look for the clot. This tool may cause doctors to over-diagnosis a recurrent clot because the symptoms may be left over from the previous clot. Correctly diagnosing a recurrent blood clot is very important since there are risks associated with both over-diagnosis and under-diagnosis. If a recurrent blood clot is missed (under-diagnosis) the patient is at risk of death from a clot in the lungs. If blood thinners are prescribed when they are not needed (over-diagnosis), the patient may have to take blood thinners for their lifetime and risk having serious bleeding.
Several tools have been developed to standardize the diagnostic management of a suspected first blood clot. One of these tools is the use of a clinical decision rule. Clinical decision rules have been designed to help clinicians make diagnostic and therapeutic decisions at the bedside. A score is computed on the presence of some criteria from the patient's medical history, clinical signs and symptoms. The score provides the probability of a blood clot. The rules can be used in combinations with a simple blood test - called D-dimer - to identify patients at low risk who don't require diagnostic imaging testing. Benefits include reduced costs, length in hospital and radiation exposure.
Patients with prior blood clots have been shown to be less likely to benefit from the non-invasive testing. Therefore, they often need to undergo imaging tests, which are frequently difficult to interpret in patients with prior blood clots since residual clots are often present and are difficult to distinguish from a recurrent clot.
The objective of this study is to try to prospectively assess the role of existing clinical decision rules in patients with prior blood clots, and to attempt to improve them in order to increase the yield of non-invasive testing and to reduce the risk of over-diagnosis with imaging tests.
With respect to this study, clots within the deep veins of the legs are called deep vein thrombosis (DVT), while clots in the lungs are called pulmonary embolism (PE).
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| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Validation of the Wells DVT Clinical Decision Rule | The Wells DVT Clinical Decision Rule (CDR) assigns a score from -2 to +9 based on clinical variables (e.g., active cancer, limb swelling, localized tenderness, prior history of DVT, alternative diagnosis as likely or more likely than DVT). In this study, the 3-level Wells DVT CDR was applied prospectively at presentation (Day 0) to participants with suspected recurrent DVT, using data collected from patient history and physical examination. Scores classify patients into low (≤0), moderate (1-2), or high (≥3) probability of DVT. Higher scores indicate greater probability of recurrent DVT. The outcome measure was the rate of confirmed recurrent DVT events within each Wells category, confirmed by objective imaging and adjudicated by an independent committee. | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent DVT) |
| Validation of the Wells PE Clinical Decision Rule | The 3-level Wells PE score (range 0-12.5) was calculated from history and exam at the index visit. Scores ≤4 = PE unlikely, >4 = PE likely. Higher scores indicate greater likelihood of PE. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent PE at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent PE) |
| Validation of the Geneva PE Clinical Decision Rule | The revised Geneva score (range 0-22) was calculated from history and exam at the index visit. Scores 0-3 = low, 4-10 = intermediate, ≥11 = high probability. Higher scores indicate greater likelihood of PE. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent PE at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent PE) |
| Measure | Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy of Current D-dimer Testing Methods | D-dimer testing at the index visit was performed using the institutional cut-off for positivity in place during the study period (2014-2019). Results were classified as positive or negative. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent VTE in each test category at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent VTE) |
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Inclusion Criteria:
Exclusion Criteria:
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Outpatients presenting with suspected acute recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE).
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| Name | Affiliation | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Gregoire Le Gal, MD | Ottawa Hospital | Principal Investigator |
| Facility | Status | City | State | ZIP | Country | Contacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Scotia Health Authority | Halifax | Nova Scotia | B3H 1V7 | Canada | ||
| Hamilton Health Sciences Centre |
| PubMed Identifier | Type | Citation | Retractions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42058833 | Derived | Mai V, Martens ESL, Righini M, Schulman S, Thiruganasambandamoorthy V, Bates V, Pecarskie A, Kovacs MJ, Visser S, Shivakumar S, Tan M, Rodger M, Scarvelis D, Delluc A, Girard P, Huisman MV, Wells PS, Klok FA, Le Gal G, Kahn SR; PREDICTORS study group. Patterns of presentation of suspected and confirmed recurrent venous thromboembolism in patients with prior venous thromboembolism. Res Pract Thromb Haemost. 2026 Mar 25;10(3):103442. doi: 10.1016/j.rpth.2026.103442. eCollection 2026 Mar. | |
| 40578691 |
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Between Nov 2014 and Jan 2019, 744 participants consented and had baseline data and blood samples collected. Verification of prior VTE history excluded 21 with non-qualifying events, leaving 723 who met eligibility and were included. Those with recurrent VTE diagnosed at enrolment completed participation at the initial visit; those who did not have recurrent VTE diagnosed at enrolment were followed up by phone at Day 90.
Between November 2014 to January 2019, eligible patients were recruited from six Canadian teaching hospitals, one academic center in Switzerland and one academic hospital in the Netherlands. All adult outpatients presenting to the Emergency Departments or Thrombosis Clinics of the participating hospitals with signs or symptoms suggestive of recurrent VTE and who were willing and able to give informed consent were eligible for inclusion.
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| ID | Title | Description |
|---|---|---|
| FG000 | Participant Eligibility | Of the 744 participants who provided informed consent and had baseline data and blood samples collected, 21 were later determined not to meet eligibility criteria after verification of prior VTE history (e.g., superficial vein thrombosis, below-knee DVT, subsegmental PE, or other non-qualifying events). These participants were excluded from analysis, leaving 723 who met all eligibility criteria and were included in the study. |
| Title | Milestones | Reasons Not Completed | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Study |
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| Type | Includes Protocol | Includes SAP | Includes ICF | Document Label | Document Date | Document Uploaded Date | Document File Name |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prot_SAP | Yes | Yes | No | Study Protocol and Statistical Analysis Plan | Nov 6, 2014 |
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Serum
| Rate of Confirmed Events Using Current Wells DVT/Wells PE/Geneva PE in Participants on Anticoagulant Therapy | The Wells DVT, Wells PE, and Geneva PE scores were calculated at the index visit in participants on anticoagulation. Score ranges and cut-offs as per respective rules. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent VTE in each risk category at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent VTE) |
| All-Cause Mortality Within 90 Days of Index Visit | Number of participants who died from any cause from enrollment (Day 0) through Day 90 follow-up for those without confirmed recurrent VTE at enrollment. | From enrollment (Day 0) through Day 90 follow-up for those not diagnosed with a confirmed recurrent VTE at enrollment |
| Hamilton |
| Ontario |
| L8L 2X2 |
| Canada |
| Lawson Health Research Institute | London | Ontario | N6G 4A5 | Canada |
| The Ottawa Hospital | Ottawa | Ontario | K1H 8L6 | Canada |
| Hopital Montfort | Ottawa | Ontario | K1K 0T2 | Canada |
| Humber River Hospital | Toronto | Ontario | M3M 0B2 | Canada |
| Sir Mortimer B. Davis Jewish General Hospital | Montreal | Quebec | H3T 1E2 | Canada |
| Leiden University Medical Centre | Leiden | Netherlands |
| Geneva University Hospital | Geneva | Switzerland |
| Derived |
| Mai V, Martens ESL, Righini M, Schulman S, Thiruganasambandamoorthy V, Kahn SR, Pecarskie A, Kovacs MJ, Visser S, Shivakumar S, Tan M, Kearon C, Rodger M, Scarvelis D, Delluc A, Girard P, Huisman MV, Wells PS, Klok FA, Le Gal G; PREDICTORS study group. Performance of clinical decision rules in patients presenting with suspected recurrent venous thromboembolism: a multicenter prospective cohort study. J Thromb Haemost. 2025 Oct;23(10):3239-3250. doi: 10.1016/j.jtha.2025.06.019. Epub 2025 Jun 25. |
| COMPLETED |
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| NOT COMPLETED |
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| ID | Title | Description |
|---|---|---|
| BG000 | Patients Presenting With Suspicion of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism | Of the 744 participants consented, 723 met all eligibility criteria and were included in the study. |
| Units | Counts |
|---|---|
| Participants |
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| Title | Description | Population Description | Parameter Type | Dispersion Type | Unit of Measure | Calculate Percentage | Denominator Units Selected | Denominators | Classes | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, Continuous | Mean | Standard Deviation | years |
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| Sex: Female, Male | Count of Participants | Participants |
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| Race/Ethnicity, Customized | Count of Participants | Participants |
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| Body Mass Index | Mean | Standard Deviation | kg/m2 |
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| Weight | Mean | Standard Deviation | kilograms |
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| Current Medication | Number | participants |
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| Type of Anticoagulation (n) | Of the 723 participants analyzed, 322 were currently taking an anticoagulant at the time of study inclusion | Count of Participants | Participants |
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| Known thrombophilia | Of the 723 participants analyzed, 92 had known thrombophilia at the time of study inclusion. Participants could have more than one thrombophilia diagnosed. | Number | participants |
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| Family History of Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) | Count of Participants | Participants |
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| Number of confirmed previous events | Number of previous diagnostically confirmed events of venous thromboembolism prior to study inclusion | Count of Participants | Participants |
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| Type of last VTE event | Breakdown of site of previously diagnosed venous thromboembolism (VTE). Of the 357 participants with a prior history of deep vein thrombosis (DVT, 12 were upper extremity DVT, 1 was concomitant upper and lower extremities DVT and 2 DVT of unknown location. Of the 79 participants that reported a prior history of pulmonary embolism (PE) and DVT, 1 participant had an upper extremity DVT. All other DVTs were in the lower extremity. | Count of Participants | Participants |
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| Active cancer | Number | participants |
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| Smoking status | Count of Participants | Participants |
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| Type | Title | Description | Population Description | Reporting Status | Anticipated Posting Date | Parameter Type | Dispersion Type | Unit of Measure | Calculate Percentage | Time Frame | Units Analyzed | Denominator Units Selected | Arm/Group Information | Denominators | Classes | Analyses | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary | Validation of the Wells DVT Clinical Decision Rule | The Wells DVT Clinical Decision Rule (CDR) assigns a score from -2 to +9 based on clinical variables (e.g., active cancer, limb swelling, localized tenderness, prior history of DVT, alternative diagnosis as likely or more likely than DVT). In this study, the 3-level Wells DVT CDR was applied prospectively at presentation (Day 0) to participants with suspected recurrent DVT, using data collected from patient history and physical examination. Scores classify patients into low (≤0), moderate (1-2), or high (≥3) probability of DVT. Higher scores indicate greater probability of recurrent DVT. The outcome measure was the rate of confirmed recurrent DVT events within each Wells category, confirmed by objective imaging and adjudicated by an independent committee. | Of the 723 participants included in the study, 401 presented with suspicion of isolated DVT, without signs or symptoms of PE. Of the 401 presenting with suspicion of isolated DVT, 108 had a confirmed diagnosis of DVT. | Posted | Count of Participants | Participants | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent DVT) |
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| Primary | Validation of the Wells PE Clinical Decision Rule | The 3-level Wells PE score (range 0-12.5) was calculated from history and exam at the index visit. Scores ≤4 = PE unlikely, >4 = PE likely. Higher scores indicate greater likelihood of PE. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent PE at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Of the 723 participants enrolled, 268 presented with a suspicion of recurrent PE without concomitant DVT suspicion. Of the 268 presenting with suspicion of isolated PE, 79 had a confirmed diagnosis of PE. | Posted | Count of Participants | Participants | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent PE) |
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| Primary | Validation of the Geneva PE Clinical Decision Rule | The revised Geneva score (range 0-22) was calculated from history and exam at the index visit. Scores 0-3 = low, 4-10 = intermediate, ≥11 = high probability. Higher scores indicate greater likelihood of PE. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent PE at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Of the 723 participants included in the study, 268 presented with suspicion of PE, without signs or symptoms of DVT. Of the 268 presenting with suspicion of isolated PE, 79 had a confirmed diagnosis of PE. | Posted | Count of Participants | Participants | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent PE) |
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| Secondary | Accuracy of Current D-dimer Testing Methods | D-dimer testing at the index visit was performed using the institutional cut-off for positivity in place during the study period (2014-2019). Results were classified as positive or negative. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent VTE in each test category at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Of the 723 participants in the study cohort, the attending physician ordered D-dimer testing in 482 at presentation for suspected recurrent VTE. This outcome measure is based on the 169 participants from that group who had negative D-dimer results and were evaluated for recurrent VTE. | Posted | Count of Participants | Participants | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent VTE) |
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| Secondary | Rate of Confirmed Events Using Current Wells DVT/Wells PE/Geneva PE in Participants on Anticoagulant Therapy | The Wells DVT, Wells PE, and Geneva PE scores were calculated at the index visit in participants on anticoagulation. Score ranges and cut-offs as per respective rules. The outcome is the proportion with confirmed recurrent VTE in each risk category at the index diagnostic work-up, adjudicated by blinded review of imaging. | Of the 723 participants included, 38 were receiving anticoagulant therapy at the time of study inclusion and had a confirmed recurrent VTE. Of the 38 confirmed recurrent VTE events, 27 were for recurrent DVT and 11 were recurrent PE. | Posted | Count of Participants | Participants | Day 0 (at time of suspected recurrent VTE) |
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| Secondary | All-Cause Mortality Within 90 Days of Index Visit | Number of participants who died from any cause from enrollment (Day 0) through Day 90 follow-up for those without confirmed recurrent VTE at enrollment. | Posted | Count of Participants | Participants | From enrollment (Day 0) through Day 90 follow-up for those not diagnosed with a confirmed recurrent VTE at enrollment |
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From enrollment (Day 0) through Day 90 follow-up for participants not diagnosed with a confirmed recurrent VTE at enrollment.
This was an observational diagnostic study with no investigational intervention. No adverse events were systematically collected. Per protocol, only all-cause mortality was assessed as a predefined secondary outcome. All deaths are reported in the All-Cause Mortality AE table below. The Serious and Other Adverse Event tables are completed with 0 events, as no additional adverse events were monitored.
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| ID | Title | Description | Deaths (Affected) | Deaths (At Risk) | Serious Events (Affected) | Serious Events (At Risk) | Other Events (Affected) | Other Events (At Risk) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EG000 | All-cause Mortality | Participants that died of any cause from time of enrolment through the 90 day follow-up period. | 12 | 723 | 0 | 723 | 0 | 723 |
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| Title | Organization | Phone | Extension | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dr Gregoire Le Gal | Ottawa Hospital | 613-737-8899 | glegal@toh.ca |
| Oct 4, 2024 |
| Prot_SAP_000.pdf |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D020246 | Venous Thrombosis |
| D011655 | Pulmonary Embolism |
| D054556 | Venous Thromboembolism |
| D013923 | Thromboembolism |
| ID | Term |
|---|---|
| D013927 | Thrombosis |
| D016769 | Embolism and Thrombosis |
| D014652 | Vascular Diseases |
| D002318 | Cardiovascular Diseases |
| D008171 | Lung Diseases |
| D012140 | Respiratory Tract Diseases |
| D004617 | Embolism |
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| Asian |
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| Aboriginal |
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| Hispanic |
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| Caucasian and Aboriginal |
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| Caucasian and Black |
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| Caucasian and Asian |
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| Anticoagulation |
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| Oral estrogen therapy |
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| Rivaroxaban |
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| Dabigatran |
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| Apixaban |
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| Edoxaban |
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| Low molecular weight heparin |
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| Blinded study drug |
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| Protein C deficiency |
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| Protein S deficiency |
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| Heterozygote Factor V Leiden |
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| Homozygote Factor V Leiden |
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| Factor V Leiden unknown if heterozygote or homozygote |
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| Prothrombin gene mutation |
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| Lupus anticoagulant |
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| Anti-cardiolipins |
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| Anti-Beta 2 glycoprotein 1 |
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| 2 |
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| 3 |
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| 4 |
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| >/= 5 |
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| Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) |
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| PE and DVT |
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| No smoking history |
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| Score >/= 3 (high) |
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| Confirmed DVT during follow-up period |
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